Reducible epidemics: Choosing your saddle (Q1316360)

Spatial models of \(S\to I\to R\) epidemics and \(S\to I\to S\) epidemics both lead to the same equations for the spread of infection in the forward tail of the epidemic. The saddle point method is applied to the deterministic \(n\)-type \(S\to I\to R\) and \(S\to I\to S\) epidemics with non-radial contact distributions and reducible infection matrix. The velocity of propagation of infection is determined in the various subgroups for any specified direction.