Detecting periods in which a time series model fails to predict the observed volatility (Q1424645)
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| Language | Label | Description | Also known as |
|---|---|---|---|
| English | Detecting periods in which a time series model fails to predict the observed volatility |
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Detecting periods in which a time series model fails to predict the observed volatility (English)
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16 March 2004
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Cumulative sums of squares (CUSUMSQ) and Bos-Ding-Fetherston (BDF) algorithms [\textit{T. Bos, D. Ding} and \textit{T. A. Fetherston}, Pacific-Basin Finance J. 6, 295--306 (1998)] for detection of multiple change-points in variances of independent variables are described. Results of simulation experiments to compare their performance are presented. The author proposes to apply CUSUMSQ to normal pseudo-residuals to check the fit of financial time-series models. As an example, the daily returns on Deutshe Bank shares (1974-1998) are considered.
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cumulative sum of squares
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CUSUM
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CUSUMSQ
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Bos-Ding-Fetherston algorithm
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change-point detection
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pseudo-residuals
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