On the Hsiao definition of non-causality (Q1978520)

From MaRDI portal
scientific article
Language Label Description Also known as
English
On the Hsiao definition of non-causality
scientific article

    Statements

    On the Hsiao definition of non-causality (English)
    0 references
    0 references
    4 June 2000
    0 references
    \textit{C. W. J. Granger} [Investigating causal relations by econometric models and cross-spectral methods. Econometrica 37, 424-438 (1969)] defined causality between two variables \(X\) and \(Y\) in terms of predictability. A difficulty with this definition is that it is restricted to one-step ahead prediction. In the presence of a third environment variable \(Z\) the non-causality properties depend on the horizon of the involved prediction. \textit{C. Hsiao} [J. Econ. Dyn. Control 4, 243-259 (1982)] proposed a generalization of the Granger notion of causality. The main purpose of this paper is to show that the Hsiao non-causality properties do not depend on the horizon of involved prediction.
    0 references
    environment variable
    0 references
    Granger causality
    0 references
    Hsiao non-causality
    0 references
    prediction
    0 references
    time series
    0 references

    Identifiers