Two-part models for assessing misrepresentation on risk status (Q2066782)
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English | Two-part models for assessing misrepresentation on risk status |
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Two-part models for assessing misrepresentation on risk status (English)
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14 January 2022
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The paper focuses on claims modeling is the actuarial framework and suggests an innovative class of two-part aggregate loss models. This class enables consideration of the semi-continuous feature of aggregate loss data, as well as of the adjustment for misrepresentation risk in insurance ratemaking; moreover, the class presented can incorporate an arbitrary number of correctly measured risk factors. After presenting the theoretical guidelines for the two-part loss models adjusting for misrepresentation, the study deepens the statistical estimation and inference for the models presented. Then, this analysis is validated by a simulation study. The theoretical models are applied on two sets of real data from a group health insurance provided by a large public institution in the US. Technical proofs and discussions are contained in Appendix.
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expectation maximization algorithm
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loss modeling
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misrepresentation fraud
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mixture models
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semi-continuous data
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