The distribution of Selmer ranks of quadratic twists of Jacobians of hyperelliptic curves (Q2331790)

In [\textit{Z. Klagsbrun} et al., Compos. Math. 150, No. 7, 1077--1106 (2014; Zbl 1316.11045)], a certain Markov model for 2-Selmer ranks of elliptic curves in the family of quadratic twists is found and it is proved that the density of 2-Selmer ranks is given by the equilibrium distribution. The paper under review considers a family of hyperelliptic curves \(C : y^2 = f(x)\) of degree \(2g + 1\) over a number field \(K\) and gives an evidence that the distribution of 2-Selmer ranks of Jacobian \(J\) of \(C\) in the family of quadratic twists should be the same as that of elliptic curves in the family of quadratic twists. More precisely, if \(J^{\chi}\) is the quadratic twist of \(J\) by a quadratic character \(\chi \in\mathrm{Hom}(G_K, \{\pm 1\})\), where \(G_K\) is the absolute Galois group of \(K\), then assuming that \(Gal(K(J[2])/K) \cong S_{2g+1}\), where \(S_{2g+1}\) denotes the symmetric group with \(2g + 1\) letters, and an ``equidistribution'' condition on certain families of Lagrangian subspaces, it is proved that for every non-negative integer \(r\), the probability that \(\dim F_2(Sel_2(J^{\chi}/K)) = r\) can be given explicitly conditional on some heuristic hypothesis.