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scientific article; zbMATH DE number 193643
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    scientific article; zbMATH DE number 193643

      Statements

      5 June 1993
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      Uncertainty analysis
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      Analysis
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      forward method. uncertainty analysis
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      computer codes
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      nonlinear problems
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      Generalized Perturbation Theory
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      Monte-Carlo methodology
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      sensitivity analysis
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      adjoint method
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      [The articles of this volume will not be indexed individually.] This book is devoted to uncertainty analysis as applied to computer codes. By the use of computer codes, we calculate parameters or functions which are generally denoted as responses. Uncertainty analysis in this area is defined as the analysis of the effect of uncertainties involved in all stages of the calculations on the responses. The uncertainties are usually due to the uncertainties associated with the input parameters, as well as due to modeling uncertainties. The uncertainty analysis approach used in reactor analysis was limited to linear problems. For nonlinear problems other methods beside the one based on sensitivity analysis were suggested. One of the methods which has been successfully applied to nonlinear problems is the statistical sampling of the input parameters described in Chapter 4. Nonlinear uncertainty analysis based on sensitivity analysis was quite recently developed and is presented in Chapter 2. However, the problem in applying this method lies in the difficulties of obtaining the nonlinear sensitivities. The linear sensitivities for nonlinear problems can be obtained using the adjoint approach as described in Chapter 3. In the last 20 years, perturbation theory has been generalized to include perturbations to eigenfunctions as well as to the eigenvalues. This approach is denoted as the Generalized Perturbation Theory and it is described in Chapter 6. Recently, Monte-Carlo methodology has been developed and used in order to obtain sensitivities. This approach is described in Chapter 5. Finally, some discussion is given to some general questions related to uncertainties. What is uncertainty and what are the causes of the uncertainties? Can we eliminate them? Such questions are discussed in Chapter 1. (From the introduction.) Contents: Ch. 1. \textit{Y. Ronen}, The role of uncertainties; Ch. 2. \textit{Y. Ronen}, Uncertainty analysis based on sensitivity analysis; Ch. 3. \textit{D. G. Cacuci}, The forward and the adjoint method of sensitivity analysis; Ch. 4. \textit{M. D. McKay}, Sensitivity and uncertainty analysis using a statistical sample of input values; Ch. 5. \textit{H. Rief}, Monte Carlo uncertainty analysis; Ch. 6. \textit{A. Gandini}, Uncertainty analysis and experimental data transposition methods based on perturbation theory; Ch. 7. \textit{Y. Ronen}, Uncertainty analysis based on functional analysis.
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