Probability of ruin with variable premium rate in a Markovian environment (Q5956051)

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scientific article; zbMATH DE number 1708399
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Probability of ruin with variable premium rate in a Markovian environment
scientific article; zbMATH DE number 1708399

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    Probability of ruin with variable premium rate in a Markovian environment (English)
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    19 February 2002
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    A risk reserve model has been discussed in which the claim number process \(\{N(t): t\geq 0\}\) is a Cox process with an intensity process \(\{\lambda(t): t>0\}\) modeled as a homogeneous \(n\)-state Markov process. The successive claims \(X_1, X_2,\dots\) are assumed to be i.i.d. and independent of the claim number process. The premiums are received at a differentiable rate \(c(r)\) depending on the current reserve \(R(t)=r\), where \(R(t)\) is the risk reserve at time \(t\), i.e. \[ R(t)= R(0)+ \int_0^t c(R(s)) ds- \sum_{i=1}^{N(t)} x_i, \quad t\geq 0. \] The author's main result provides an integral equation for the conditional probability of ruin given \(\lambda(0)= \lambda_i\) and \(R(0)=u\), from which the total probability of ruin \(\Psi(u)\) is immediate. For a special premium plan, taking a fixed interest investment of the reserve into account, the Laplace transforms of the corresponding ruin probabilities can be determined via a system of differential equations. More explicit forms of the latter are given in case of exponential claims and a two-state intensity process.
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    ruin probability
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    risk reserve model
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    claim number process
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    Cox process
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    integral equation
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    Laplace transforms
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    exponential claims
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    two-state intensity process
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