EconCausal (Q7370471)
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Causal Analysis for Macroeconomic Time Series (ECM-MARS, BSTS, Bayesian GLM-AR(1))
| Language | Label | Description | Also known as |
|---|---|---|---|
| default for all languages | No label defined |
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| English | EconCausal |
Causal Analysis for Macroeconomic Time Series (ECM-MARS, BSTS, Bayesian GLM-AR(1)) |
Statements
Implements three complementary pipelines for causal analysis on macroeconomic time series: (1) Error-Correction Models with Multivariate Adaptive Regression Splines (ECM-MARS), (2) Bayesian Structural Time Series (BSTS), and (3) Bayesian GLM with AR(1) errors validated with Leave-Future-Out (LFO). Heavy backends (Stan) are optional and never used in examples or tests.
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17 September 2026
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