Bounds for the Bayes risk for testing sequentially the sign of the drift parameter of a Wiener process (Q796226)
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scientific article; zbMATH DE number 3864322
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| English | Bounds for the Bayes risk for testing sequentially the sign of the drift parameter of a Wiener process |
scientific article; zbMATH DE number 3864322 |
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Bounds for the Bayes risk for testing sequentially the sign of the drift parameter of a Wiener process (English)
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1984
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Let x(t) be a Wiener process with drift \(\mu\) and variance 1 per unit time. Consider the following problem: test H:\(\mu \leq 0\) vs. \(A:\mu>0\) with the loss function \(| \mu |\) if the wrong decision is made and 0 otherwise, and with \(c=\cos t\) of observation per unit time, and \(\mu\) has a prior distribution which is normal with mean 0 and variance \(\sigma^ 2_ 0.\) The authors obtain a lower bound for the Bayes risk for the case of \(\sigma_ 0\) finite, and show that this lower bound is not asymptotically achievable as \(\sigma_ 0\to \infty\) for all \(c>0\). Furthermore, they show that the \textit{P. J. Bickel} and \textit{J. A. Yahav's} lower bound [Tech. Rep. No.26, Dept. Statist., Stanford Univ. (1967)] is not asymptotically achievable as \(c\to 0\) for the case of \(\mu\) having the improper prior distribution.
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stopping times
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normal prior
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Wiener process
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lower bound for the Bayes risk
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0.8211806416511536
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0.8208625912666321
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0.7988833785057068
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