Kernel based Dirichlet sequences

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Kernel based Dirichlet sequences (scientific article)




Abstract: Let X=(X1,X2,ldots) be a sequence of random variables with values in a standard space (S,mathcalB). Suppose �egin{gather*} X_1sim

uquad ext{and}quad P�igl(X_{n+1}incdotmid X_1,ldots,X_n�igr)=frac{ heta

u(cdot)+sum_{i=1}^nK(X_i)(cdot)}{n+ heta}quadquad ext{a.s.} end{gather*} where heta>0 is a constant, u a probability measure on mathcalB, and K a random probability measure on mathcalB. Then, X is exchangeable whenever K is a regular conditional distribution for u given any sub-sigma-field of mathcalB. Under this assumption, X enjoys all the main properties of classical Dirichlet sequences, including Sethuraman's representation, conjugacy property, and convergence in total variation of predictive distributions. If mu is the weak limit of the empirical measures, conditions for mu to be a.s. discrete, or a.s. non-atomic, or mullu a.s., are provided. Two CLT's are proved as well. The first deals with stable convergence while the second concerns total variation distance.












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