Large deviations for infectious diseases models

DOI10.1007/978-3-319-92420-5_7MaRDI QIDQ5126593zbMATH OpenOpenAlexFDO

Authors Peter Kratz, Etienne Pardoux

Publication date 20 October 2020

Published in Séminaire de Probabilités XLIX (Search for Journal in Brave)

Full work available at URL https://arxiv.org/abs/1602.02803

zbMATH Keywords

epidemic modelsFreidlin-Wentzell theorylarge edeviationsPoisson process driven SDE

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Large deviations (60F10) Epidemiology (92D30)

Abstract: We establish large deviation estimates for Poisson driven models of infectious disease, and apply those estimates to the time of exit from the basin of attraction of an endemic equilibrium. We apply our results to the classical SIRS model.

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Cited in

(14)

• Large deviations for discrete-time epidemic models
• Optimal control of diffusion processes pertaining to an opioid epidemic dynamical model with random perturbations
• Metastability for systems of interacting neurons
• Large deviations for Markov jump processes with uniformly diminishing rates
• Moderate deviations and extinction of an epidemic
• A stochastic SIR model on a graph with epidemiological and population dynamics occurring over the same time scale
• Large deviations in a population dynamics with catastrophes
• Large and moderate deviations for the total population in the nearly unstable INAR(1) model
• Large deviation principle for epidemic models
• Large deviations of the exit measure through a characteristic boundary for a Poisson driven SDE
• Extinction and quasi-stationarity for discrete-time, endemic SIS and SIR models
• Large deviation principle for reflected Poisson driven stochastic differential equations in epidemic models
• scientific article; zbMATH DE number 7709547 (Why is no real title available?)
• Large-deviation properties of SIR model incorporating protective measures

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