Learning stable and predictive structures in kinetic systems

DOI10.48550/ARXIV.1810.11776MaRDI QIDQ144723zbMATH OpenOpenAlexWikidataFDO

Authors Niklas Pfister, Stefan Bauer, Jonas Peters, Niklas Pfister, Stefan Bauer, Jonas Peters

Publication date 28 October 2018

Published in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (Search for Journal in Brave)

Full work available at URL https://arxiv.org/abs/1810.11776

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Kinematics of mechanisms and robots (70B15)

Abstract: Learning kinetic systems from data is one of the core challenges in many fields. Identifying stable models is essential for the generalization capabilities of data-driven inference. We introduce a computationally efficient framework, called CausalKinetiX, that identifies structure from discrete time, noisy observations, generated from heterogeneous experiments. The algorithm assumes the existence of an underlying, invariant kinetic model, a key criterion for reproducible research. Results on both simulated and real-world examples suggest that learning the structure of kinetic systems benefits from a causal perspective. The identified variables and models allow for a concise description of the dynamics across multiple experimental settings and can be used for prediction in unseen experiments. We observe significant improvements compared to well established approaches focusing solely on predictive performance, especially for out-of-sample generalization.

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Cited in

(9)

• Kernel Ordinary Differential Equations
• Deconfounding and Causal Regularisation for Stability and External Validity
• CausalKinetiX
• CausalKinetiX
• Switching regression models and causal inference in the presence of discrete latent variables
• Foundations of structural causal models with cycles and latent variables
• Predicting high-codimension critical transitions in dynamical systems using active learning
• Stabilizing variable selection and regression
• LEARNING TRAJECTORIES OF DYNAMICAL SYSTEMS

Describes a project that uses

Uses Software

• Data2Dynamics
• fda (R)
• SUNDIALS

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