Manipulability of Future-Independent Tests

DOI10.3982/ECTA7428MaRDI QIDQ3548511zbMATH OpenOpenAlexFDO

Authors Wojciech Olszewski, Alvaro Sandroni

Publication date 15 December 2008

Published in Econometrica (Search for Journal in Brave)

Full work available at URL https://doi.org/10.3982/ecta7428

zbMATH Keywords

manipulabilitystrategic expertstesting

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Applications of statistics to actuarial sciences and financial mathematics (62P05) Statistical methods; economic indices and measures (91B82)

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• A nonmanipulable test
• Transferable deposits as a screening mechanism
• An axiomatic characterization of wagering mechanisms
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• On comparison of experts
• Merging and testing opinions
• Robust option pricing: Hannan and Blackwell meet Black and Scholes
• Falsification and Future Performance
• A strategy-proof test of portfolio returns
• Efficient forecast tests for conditional policy forecasts
• Strategic manipulation of empirical tests
• Expressible inspections
• A prequential test for exchangeable theories
• Testable forecasts
• The Rationality and Efficiency of Individuals' Forecasts
• Testing theories with learnable and predictive representations
• Nonmanipulable Bayesian testing
• Evolving influence: mitigating extreme conflicts of interest in advisory relationships

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