Nonmanipulable Bayesian testing

DOI10.1016/J.JET.2011.06.015MaRDI QIDQ643273zbMATH OpenOpenAlexFDO

Authors Colin Stewart

Publication date 28 October 2011

Published in Journal of Economic Theory (Search for Journal in Brave)

Full work available at URL https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jet.2011.06.015

zbMATH Keywords

expertsprobability forecaststesting

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Foundations and philosophical topics in statistics (62A01) Bayesian inference (62F15) Non-Markovian processes: hypothesis testing (62M07) Probabilistic games; gambling (91A60)

Recommendations

• Comparative Testing of Experts
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Cites work

• A nonmanipulable test
• Any Inspection is Manipulable
• Asymptotic calibration
• Calibration with Many Checking Rules
• Comparative Testing of Experts
• Good Randomized Sequential Probability Forecasting is Always Possible
• scientific article; zbMATH DE number 1232374 (Why is no real title available?)
• Manipulability of Future-Independent Tests
• Maxmin expected utility with non-unique prior
• Merging, reputation, and repeated games with incomplete information
• Non-Bayesian Testing of a Stochastic Prediction
• Present Position and Potential Developments: Some Personal Views: Statistical Theory: The Prequential Approach
• Probability with Martingales
• Rational Learning Leads to Nash Equilibrium
• Relative entropy in sequential decision problems
• Strategic manipulation of empirical tests
• Testing Multiple Forecasters
• Testing theories with learnable and predictive representations
• The Complexity of Forecast Testing
• The reproducible properties of correct forecasts
• Weak and strong merging of opinions

Cited in

(16)

• A nonmanipulable test
• Noninformative Bayesian testing and neutral Bayes factors
• Non-marginal decisions: a novel Bayesian multiple testing procedure
• A difficulty in the testing of strategic experts
• Mostly calibrated
• On comparison of experts
• Merging and testing opinions
• A cardinal comparison of experts
• Strategic manipulation of empirical tests
• Non-Bayesian Testing of a Stochastic Prediction
• Comparative Testing of Experts
• Testing Multiple Forecasters
• Manipulability of Future-Independent Tests
• Expressible inspections
• Testable forecasts
• Testing theories with learnable and predictive representations

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