Any Inspection is Manipulable

DOI10.1111/1468-0262.00244MaRDI QIDQ4531035zbMATH OpenOpenAlexFDO

Authors Ehud Lehrer

Publication date 28 May 2002

Published in Econometrica (Search for Journal in Brave)

Full work available at URL https://doi.org/10.1111/1468-0262.00244

zbMATH Keywords

inspectorspanforecasterrealizationsBlackwell's approachability theoremsampling rulesaverage predictionchecking rulesforecasting schemegames with payoffs in infinite dimensional spacesmanipulative forecastmixed calibration testsprinciple of approachability

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Inference from stochastic processes and prediction (62M20) Prediction theory (aspects of stochastic processes) (60G25) Proceedings, conferences, collections, etc. pertaining to game theory, economics, and finance (91-06) Stochastic models in economics (91B70)

Recommendations

• Mostly calibrated
• Testing Multiple Forecasters
• Expressible inspections
• Calibration with Many Checking Rules
• Efficient testing of forecasts

Cited in

(25)

• Nonmanipulable Bayesian testing
• Transferable deposits as a screening mechanism
• A strategy-proof test of portfolio returns
• Mostly calibrated
• Testing theories with learnable and predictive representations
• Expressible inspections
• Learning in Games
• On universal algorithms for adaptive forecasting
• Calibration and Bayesian learning.
• Calibration with Many Checking Rules
• Merging and testing opinions
• On Sequences with Non-learnable Subsequences
• Testing Multiple Forecasters
• Non-Bayesian Testing of a Stochastic Prediction
• On calibration error of randomized forecasting algorithms
• A nonmanipulable test
• Special issue: Learning in games: a symposium in honor of David Blackwell.
• Approachability, regret and calibration: implications and equivalences
• On comparison of experts
• A geometric proof of calibration
• Repeated games with incomplete information
• Efficient testing of forecasts
• Belief-based equilibrium
• Non-asymptotic calibration and resolution
• Good Randomized Sequential Probability Forecasting is Always Possible

This page was built for publication: Any Inspection is Manipulable

Report a bug (only for logged in users!)Click here to report a bug for this page (MaRDI item Q4531035)