Present Position and Potential Developments: Some Personal Views: Statistical Theory: The Prequential Approach
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- Item screening in graphical loglinear Rasch models
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- Risk modeling of property insurance claims from weather events
- Incremental predictive clustering trees for online semi-supervised multi-target regression
- A new understanding of subjective probability and its generalization to lower and upper prevision.
- Stochastic complexity and the mdl principle
- Fluctuation-Dissipation Theorem and Models of Learning
- Seasonal count time series
- Robust Bayesian prediction and estimation under a squared log error loss function
- Non-parametric Bayesian hazard regression for chronic disease risk assessment
- Bayesian ikference procedures derived via the concept of relative surprise
- Learning model trees from evolving data streams
- Bayesian model selection based on proper scoring rules
- Extensive scoring rules
- Price probabilities: a class of Bayesian and non-Bayesian prediction rules
- Prequential analysis of complex data with adaptive model reselection
- Regression diagnostics meets forecast evaluation: conditional calibration, reliability diagrams, and coefficient of determination
- Game-theoretic statistics and safe anytime-valid inference
- Calibration tests for count data
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- Semi-parametric dynamic time series modelling with applications to detecting neural dynamics
- Arbitrage of forecasting experts
- Cross-validatory model selection for Bayesian autoregressions with exogenous regressors
- Local proper scoring rules of order two
- A probabilistic view on predictive constructions for Bayesian learning
- Isotonic conditional laws
- Rejoinder on: Assessing probabilistic forecasts of multivariate quantities, with an application to ensemble predictions of surface winds
- On future directions in statistical methodologies -- some speculations
- Exchangeability, prediction and predictive modeling in Bayesian statistics
- Dynamic prediction pools: an investigation of financial frictions and forecasting performance
- A game of prediction with expert advice
- Causal interpretation of graphical models
- Bootstrap model selection for possibly dependent and heterogeneous data
- Robust Bayesian methodology with applications in credibility premium derivation and future claim size prediction
- Hierarchical analysis of SUR models with extensions to correlated serial errors and time-varying parameter models
- Catching up Faster by Switching Sooner: A Predictive Approach to Adaptive Estimation with an Application to the AIC–BIC Dilemma
- On evaluating stream learning algorithms
- Bayesian model learning based on predictive entropy
- U-plot method for testing the goodness-of-fit of the power-law process
- On count time series prediction
- Bayesian epidemic models for spatially aggregated count data
- Can the random walk model be beaten in out-of-sample density forecasts? Evidence from intraday foreign exchange rates
- Online forecast combinations of distributions: worst case bounds
- Efficient real-time monitoring of an emerging influenza pandemic: how feasible?
- Probabilistic Models for Bacterial Taxonomy
- Bayes factors: Prior sensitivity and model generalizability
- Mapping ex ante risks of COVID-19 in Indonesia using a Bayesian geostatistical model on airport network data
- Model selection and prediction: Normal regression
- Gibbs distribution from sequentially predictive form of the second law
- Learning Bayesian network classifiers by risk minimization
- Multivariate Postprocessing Methods for High-Dimensional Seasonal Weather Forecasts
- Solomonoff prediction and Occam's razor
- Continuous-time trading and the emergence of probability
- A non-linear forecast combination procedure for binary outcomes
- Optimal estimation versus MCMC for CO\(_2\) retrievals
- scientific article; zbMATH DE number 472940 (Why is no real title available?)
- Bayesian model comparison with the Hyvärinen score: computation and consistency
- The 22 table: A discussion from a Bayesian viewpoint.
- Assessing fit in Bayesian models for spatial processes
- Real-time prequential goodness-of-fit testing of life distributions in renewal processes
- Ensemble Economic Scenario Generators: Unity Makes Strength
- Calibration tests for multivariate Gaussian forecasts
- On the complexity of function learning
- Bayesian Nonparametric Calibration and Combination of Predictive Distributions
- Interpreting uninterpretable predictors: kernel methods, Shtarkov solutions, and random forests
- A conversation with A. Philip Dawid
- A cheat sheet for Bayesian prediction
- On the quantification of model uncertainty: a Bayesian perspective
- Change-point problems in software and hardware reliability
- Goodness of fit tests for a class of Markov random field models
- On the appropriateness of inappropriate VaR models
- Sequentially valid tests for forecast calibration
- Decompositions of the mean continuous ranked probability score
- Author's reply to the discussion of `Testing by betting: a strategy for statistical and scientific communication' by Glenn Shafer
- Priyantha Wijayatunga's contribution to the discussion of `Testing by betting: a strategy for statistical and scientific communication' by Glenn Shafer
- Ruodu Wang's contribution to the discussion of `Testing by betting: a strategy for statistical and scientific communication' by Glenn Shafer
- Paul Vos's contribution to the discussion of `Testing by betting: a strategy for statistical and scientific communication' by Glenn Shafer
- Judith Ter Schure's contribution to the discussion of `Testing by betting: a strategy for statistical and scientific communication' by Glenn Shafer
- Stephen Senn's contribution to the discussion of `Testing by betting: a strategy for statistical and scientific communication' by Glenn Shafer
- Jorge Mateu's contribution to the discussion of `Testing by betting: a strategy for statistical and scientific communication' by Glenn Shafer
- Ryan Martin's contribution to the discussion of `Testing by betting: a strategy for statistical and scientific communication' by Glenn Shafer
- Nick Longford's contribution to the discussion of `Testing by betting: a strategy for statistical and scientific communication' by Glenn Shafer
- Tze Leung Lai and Anna Choi's contribution to the discussion of `Testing by betting: a strategy for statistical and scientific communication' by Glenn Shafer
- Kuldeep Kumar's contribution to the discussion of `Testing by betting: a strategy for statistical and scientific communication' by Glenn Shafer
- Chloe Krakauer and Kenneth Rice's contribution to the discussion of `Testing by betting: a strategy for statistical and scientific communication' by Glenn Shafer
- Sander Greenland's contribution to the discussion of `Testing by betting: a strategy for statistical and scientific communication' by Glenn Shafer
- Christine P. Chai's contribution to the discussion of `Testing by betting: a strategy for statistical and scientific communication' by Glenn Shafer
- A distillation of the live chat during the discussion of `Testing by betting: a strategy for statistical and scientific communication' by Glenn Shafer
- Christian Hennig's contribution to the discussion of `Testing by betting: a strategy for statistical and scientific communication' by Glenn Shafer
- Vladimir Vovk's contribution to the discussion of `Testing by betting: a strategy for statistical and scientific communication' by Glenn Shafer
- Arthur Paul Pedersen's contribution to the discussion of `Testing by betting: a strategy for statistical and scientific communication' by Glenn Shafer
- Xiao-Li Meng's contribution to the discussion of `Testing by betting: a strategy for statistical and scientific communication' by Glenn Shafer
- Peter D. Grünwald's contribution to the discussion of `Testing by betting: a strategy for statistical and scientific communication' by Glenn Shafer
- Aaditya Ramdas's contribution to the discussion of `Testing by betting: a strategy for statistical and scientific communication' by Glenn Shafer
- Barbara Osimani's contribution to the discussion of `Testing by betting: a strategy for statistical and scientific communication' by Glenn Shafer
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