Model selection and estimation of a component in additive regression

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Abstract: Let YinRn be a random vector with mean s and covariance matrix sigma2PnraPn where Pn is some known nimesn-matrix. We construct a statistical procedure to estimate s as well as under moment condition on Y or Gaussian hypothesis. Both cases are developed for known or unknown sigma2. Our approach is free from any prior assumption on s and is based on non-asymptotic model selection methods. Given some linear spaces collection Sm,minM, we consider, for any minM, the least-squares estimator hatsm of s in Sm. Considering a penalty function that is not linear in the dimensions of the Sm's, we select some hatminM in order to get an estimator hatshatm with a quadratic risk as close as possible to the minimal one among the risks of the hatsm's. Non-asymptotic oracle-type inequalities and minimax convergence rates are proved for hatshatm. A special attention is given to the estimation of a non-parametric component in additive models. Finally, we carry out a simulation study in order to illustrate the performances of our estimators in practice.












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