Modelling with SPEED: a stochastic predictor of early epidemic detection

DOI10.1016/J.JTBI.2025.112120MaRDI QIDQ6959552zbMATH OpenFDO

Authors Kathryn H. Bowers, Daniela De Angelis, Paul J. Birrell

Publication date 15 July 2025

Published in Journal of Theoretical Biology (Search for Journal in Brave)

Full work available at URL https://doi.org/10.1016/J.JTBI.2025.112120

zbMATH Keywords

Bayesian inferenceemerging infectious diseasesepidemicsindividual-level modellingnovel pathogen detectionstochastic modelling

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Prediction theory (aspects of stochastic processes) (60G25) Epidemiology (92D30)

Cites work

• A practical guide to mathematical methods for estimating infectious disease outbreak risks
• Ascertainment rate of SARS-CoV-2 infections from healthcare and community testing in the UK
• On the Generalized "Birth-and-Death" Process
• The challenges of modeling and forecasting the spread of COVID-19
• The Relevance of Stochastic Models for Large-Scale Epidemiological Phenomena

Cited in

(1)

• Editorial: Improving pandemic and epidemic responses -- novel methods and lessons learned from previous infectious disease outbreaks

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