A practical guide to mathematical methods for estimating infectious disease outbreak risks

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A direct comparison of methods for assessing the threat from emerging infectious diseases in seasonally varying environments
A mathematical model reveals the influence of population heterogeneity on herd immunity to SARS-CoV-2
Determining the effects of wind-aided midge movement on the outbreak and coexistence of multiple bluetongue virus serotypes in patchy environments
Estimating local outbreak risks and the effects of non-pharmaceutical interventions in age-structured populations: SARS-CoV-2 as a case study
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scientific article; zbMATH DE number 3626983 (Why is no real title available?)
Markov Chains
Multivariate birth-and-death processes as approximations to epidemic processes
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Pandemic modelling for regions implementing an elimination strategy
Probability of a disease outbreak in stochastic multipatch epidemic models
Stochastic model of bovine babesiosis with juvenile and adult cattle
Superspreaders and high variance infectious diseases
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The implications of network structure for epidemic dynamics
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Managing the endogenous risk of disease outbreaks with non-constant background risk
Risk management, signal processing and econometrics: a new tool for forecasting the risk of disease outbreaks
A direct comparison of methods for assessing the threat from emerging infectious diseases in seasonally varying environments
Challenges in modeling of an outbreak's prediction, forecasting and decision making for policy makers
Dispersal engendered synchronization and stability of mediated infectious diseases in the patchy environment using mean-field diffusive coupling
Infections are not alike: the effects of covariation between individual susceptibility and transmissibility on epidemic dynamics
A mathematical model for assessing the effectiveness of vaccination in controlling Mpox dynamics and mitigating disease burden in Nigeria and the Democratic Republic of Congo
Heterogeneity in and correlation between host transmissibility and susceptibility can greatly impact epidemic dynamics
Probability of extinction and peak time for multi-type epidemics with application to COVID-19 variants of concern
Modelling with SPEED: a stochastic predictor of early epidemic detection
Epidemiological dynamics in populations structured by neighbourhoods and households
Investigating seasonal disease emergence and extinction in stochastic epidemic models
The effect of pathogens from environmental breeding and accumulative release by the infected individuals on spread dynamics of a SIRP epidemic model
Investigating the impact of socioeconomic level on the burden of COVID-19 and cholera co-dynamics in Haiti

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