Estimating local outbreak risks and the effects of non-pharmaceutical interventions in age-structured populations: SARS-CoV-2 as a case study

DOI10.1016/J.JTBI.2021.110983MaRDI QIDQ2670136zbMATH OpenOpenAlexFDO

Authors Francesca A. Lovell-Read, Silvia Shen, Robin N. Thompson

Publication date 10 March 2022

Published in Journal of Theoretical Biology (Search for Journal in Brave)

Copyright license Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International

Full work available at URL https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jtbi.2021.110983

zbMATH Keywords

age-structured modelsCOVID-19infectious disease epidemiologymathematical modellingnon-pharmaceutical interventionsoutbreak probabilitySARS-CoV-2

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Applications of branching processes (60J85) Epidemiology (92D30)

Recommendations

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• Quantifying the shift in social contact patterns in response to non-pharmaceutical interventions
• Quantifying the role of social distancing, personal protection and case detection in mitigating COVID-19 outbreak in Ontario, Canada
• Quantifying the Effects of Non-Pharmaceutical and Pharmaceutical Interventions Against Covid-19 Epidemic in the Republic of Korea: Mathematical Model-Based Approach Considering Age Groups and the Delta Variant

Cites work

• Markov Chains

Cited in

(15)

• Quantifying the shift in social contact patterns in response to non-pharmaceutical interventions
• The heterogeneous mixing model of COVID-19 with interventions
• Projecting the COVID-19 immune landscape in Japan in the presence of waning immunity and booster vaccination
• Pandemic modelling for regions implementing an elimination strategy
• A practical guide to mathematical methods for estimating infectious disease outbreak risks
• A structured model for COVID-19 spread: modelling age and healthcare inequities
• Stochasticity of infectious outbreaks and consequences for optimal interventions
• Quantifying the Effects of Non-Pharmaceutical and Pharmaceutical Interventions Against Covid-19 Epidemic in the Republic of Korea: Mathematical Model-Based Approach Considering Age Groups and the Delta Variant
• Workplace absenteeism due to COVID-19 and influenza across Canada: a mathematical model
• Who acquires infection from whom? A sensitivity analysis of transmission dynamics during the early phase of the COVID-19 pandemic in Belgium
• Long-term effects of non-pharmaceutical interventions on total disease burden in parsimonious epidemiological models
• Infections are not alike: the effects of covariation between individual susceptibility and transmissibility on epidemic dynamics
• Dynamical analysis on symptom-based SEMIR compartmental model with age groups
• Pillars of theoretical biology: a model for influenza with vaccination and antiviral treatment
• Misspecification of the generation time distribution and its impact on R_t estimates in structured populations

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