Optimization of Monte Carlo weighted methods for part of variables
Estimates for the linear functionals \(\int \phi (x)h(x)dx\) of the solution \(\phi (x)\) to the second kind integral equation with a strictly subMarkovian kernel \(k(x,x')\) and a positive free term \(f(x)\) with integral 1 can be estimated directly by using \(\sum_n h(x_n)\) where \(x_n\) is the homogeneous terminating Markov chain with transition function \(k(x,x')\) and initial density \(f(x)\). In this paper the minimal problem of variance of the estimate of the functional is considered by imitating the idea of the importance sampling of the traditional variance reduction technique by using another auxillary Markov chain with appropriate selected transition kernel and initial density. This improved estimate is also called weight `collision estimate'. A practical efficient approximation algorithm is suggested.
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