Periodic epidemic spreading over complex systems: modeling and analysis

DOI10.1155/2016/8423135MaRDI QIDQ1793659zbMATH OpenOpenAlexWikidataFDO

Authors Zhe Wang, Hong Yao, Haiyan Han, Jun Du, Chao Ding

Publication date 12 October 2018

Published in Mathematical Problems in Engineering (Search for Journal in Brave)

Copyright license Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International

Full work available at URL https://doi.org/10.1155/2016/8423135

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Epidemiology (92D30)

Review text

Summary: It is well observed that some infectious diseases show a feature of periodicity; that is, the disease may prevail during a certain season and vanish afterwards. In the effort of understanding this specific phenomenon, in this paper, we propose a spreading model with a time-variant infectivity function considering both the features of periodicity and agent variability. We apply the modified model to a scale-free network frame with tunable power-law coefficient to find out the characteristics of periodic spreading dynamics. Our work consists of both theoretical derivation and a series of corresponding numerical simulations in order to find out the influence of the parameters of both network topology and the modified model on spreading dynamics in the underlined networks. The experiments prove the success of our model in producing a periodic behavior of spreading, and the results agree well with theoretical calculations.

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Cites work

• Collective dynamics of `small-world' networks
• Effect of vaccination strategies on the dynamic behavior of epidemic spreading and vaccine coverage
• Emergence of Scaling in Random Networks
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Cited in

(2)

• Spreading dynamics and synchronization behavior of periodic diseases on complex networks
• scientific article; zbMATH DE number 5548062 (Why is no real title available?)

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