Tilmann Gneiting

List of research outcomes

This list is not complete and representing at the moment only items from zbMATH Open and arXiv. We are working on additional sources - please check back here soon!

Publication	Date of Publication	Type
Stable reliability diagrams for probabilistic classifiers Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America	2025-03-05	Paper
Decompositions of the mean continuous ranked probability score Electronic Journal of Statistics	2025-01-31	Paper
Easy Uncertainty Quantification (EasyUQ): Generating Predictive Distributions from Single-Valued Model Output SIAM Review	2024-02-15	Paper
Comparative evaluation of point process forecasts Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics	2024-01-16	Paper
Regression diagnostics meets forecast evaluation: conditional calibration, reliability diagrams, and coefficient of determination Electronic Journal of Statistics	2024-01-05	Paper
Regression diagnostics meets forecast evaluation: conditional calibration, reliability diagrams, and coefficient of determination Electronic Journal of Statistics	2024-01-05	Paper
Predictive Inference Based on Markov Chain Monte Carlo Output International Statistical Review	2023-12-13	Paper
Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) movies, universal ROC (UROC) curves, and coefficient of predictive ability (CPA) Machine Learning	2022-11-28	Paper
Predictions are difficult, especially about the future: short-term forecasts in the pandemic Mitteilungen der Deutschen Mathematiker-Vereinigung (DMV)	2022-08-15	Paper
Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves: equivalences, beta model, and minimum distance estimation Machine Learning	2022-08-10	Paper
Isotonic Distributional Regression Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B: Statistical Methodology	2022-07-11	Paper
Scoring interval forecasts: equal-tailed, shortest, and modal interval Bernoulli	2021-07-09	Paper
Stable reliability diagrams for probabilistic classifiers Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences	2021-02-17	Paper
Properization: constructing proper scoring rules via Bayes acts Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics	2020-05-27	Paper
Of quantiles and expectiles: consistent scoring functions, Choquet representations and forecast rankings. With discussion and authors' reply Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B: Statistical Methodology	2019-06-12	Paper
Combining Probability Forecasts Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B: Statistical Methodology	2019-04-30	Paper
Forecaster's dilemma: extreme events and forecast evaluation Statistical Science	2018-10-02	Paper
Forecaster's dilemma: extreme events and forecast evaluation Statistical Science	2018-10-02	Paper
When is the mode functional the Bayes classifier?	2017-04-28	Paper
Studies in the history of probability and statistics XLIX: On the Matérn correlation family Biometrika	2016-06-27	Paper
Uncertainty quantification in complex simulation models using ensemble copula coupling Statistical Science	2016-03-02	Paper
Uncertainty quantification in complex simulation models using ensemble copula coupling Statistical Science	2016-03-02	Paper
Estimators of fractal dimension: assessing the roughness of time series and spatial data Statistical Science	2016-02-16	Paper
Estimators of fractal dimension: assessing the roughness of time series and spatial data Statistical Science	2016-02-16	Paper
Consistent scoring functions for quantiles Institute of Mathematical Statistics Collections	2015-07-30	Paper
Gaussian random particles with flexible Hausdorff dimension Advances in Applied Probability	2015-07-15	Paper
Gaussian random particles with flexible Hausdorff dimension Advances in Applied Probability	2015-07-15	Paper
Matérn cross-covariance functions for multivariate random fields Journal of the American Statistical Association	2015-06-16	Paper
Probabilistic Weather Forecasting for Winter Road Maintenance Journal of the American Statistical Association	2015-06-15	Paper
Copula calibration Electronic Journal of Statistics	2015-01-14	Paper
Copula calibration Electronic Journal of Statistics	2015-01-14	Paper
The affinely invariant distance correlation Bernoulli	2014-11-11	Paper
The affinely invariant distance correlation Bernoulli	2014-11-11	Paper
Using Proper Divergence Functions to Evaluate Climate Models SIAM/ASA Journal on Uncertainty Quantification	2014-02-25	Paper
Strictly and non-strictly positive definite functions on spheres Bernoulli	2013-10-17	Paper
Strictly and non-strictly positive definite functions on spheres Bernoulli	2013-10-17	Paper
Combining predictive distributions Electronic Journal of Statistics	2013-07-09	Paper
Combining predictive distributions Electronic Journal of Statistics	2013-07-09	Paper
Local proper scoring rules of order two The Annals of Statistics	2012-09-03	Paper
Local proper scoring rules of order two The Annals of Statistics	2012-09-03	Paper
On the Cover-Hart Inequality: What's a Sample of Size One Worth?	2012-06-15	Paper
Geostatistical model averaging for locally calibrated probabilistic quantitative precipitation forecasting Journal of the American Statistical Association	2012-03-22	Paper
Making and evaluating point forecasts Journal of the American Statistical Association	2011-10-28	Paper
Comparing density forecasts using threshold- and quantile-weighted scoring rules Journal of Business and Economic Statistics	2011-08-24	Paper
Making and evaluating point forecasts Journal of the American Statistical Association	2011-06-01	Paper
Predictive model assessment for count data Biometrics	2010-01-21	Paper
Assessing probabilistic forecasts of multivariate quantities, with an application to ensemble predictions of surface winds Test	2009-05-27	Paper
Rejoinder on: Assessing probabilistic forecasts of multivariate quantities, with an application to ensemble predictions of surface winds Test	2009-05-27	Paper
Probabilistic quantitative precipitation field forecasting using a two-stage spatial model The Annals of Applied Statistics	2009-02-10	Paper
Identifiability of Finite Mixtures of Elliptical Distributions Scandinavian Journal of Statistics	2007-12-16	Paper
Probabilistic Forecasts, Calibration and Sharpness Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B: Statistical Methodology	2007-10-26	Paper
scientific article; zbMATH DE number 5200004 (Why is no real title available?)	2007-10-11	Paper
Strictly Proper Scoring Rules, Prediction, and Estimation Journal of the American Statistical Association	2007-09-18	Paper
Calibrated Probabilistic Mesoscale Weather Field Forecasting Journal of the American Statistical Association	2007-08-20	Paper
Calibrated Probabilistic Forecasting at the Stateline Wind Energy Center Journal of the American Statistical Association	2007-08-20	Paper
Local approximation of variograms by covariance functions Statistics & Probability Letters	2006-06-30	Paper
Stochastic Models That Separate Fractal Dimension and the Hurst Effect SIAM Review	2005-02-25	Paper
Convolution roots of radial positive definite functions with compact support Transactions of the American Mathematical Society	2004-08-13	Paper
Nonseparable, Stationary Covariance Functions for Space–Time Data Journal of the American Statistical Association	2004-06-10	Paper
Stationary covariances associated with exponentially convex functions Bernoulli	2004-06-10	Paper
Necessary and sufficient conditions for the quantum Zeno and anti-Zeno effect Journal of Physics A: Mathematical and General	2004-06-10	Paper
Polynomial covariance functions on intervals Bernoulli	2003-10-26	Paper
Compactly supported correlation functions Journal of Multivariate Analysis	2003-03-16	Paper
Analogies and correspondences between variograms and covariance functions Advances in Applied Probability	2002-05-23	Paper
Curiosities of characteristic functions Expositiones Mathematicae	2002-05-14	Paper
Decomposition Theorems for α ‐‐ Symmetric Positive Definite Functions Mathematische Nachrichten	2002-03-03	Paper
Power-law correlations, related models for long-range dependence and their simulation Journal of Applied Probability	2001-11-19	Paper
Improved bounds for Laue's constant and multivariate extensions Mathematische Nachrichten	2001-10-14	Paper
Addendum to `Isotropic correlation functions on \(d\)-dimensional balls' Advances in Applied Probability	2001-07-26	Paper
Experimental Approaches to Kuttner's Problem Experimental Mathematics	2001-07-22	Paper
Experimental Approaches to Kuttner's Problem Experimental Mathematics	2001-07-22	Paper
Experimental Approaches to Kuttner's Problem Experimental Mathematics	2001-07-22	Paper
Closed form solutions of the two-dimensional turning bands equation Mathematical Geology	2001-06-20	Paper
The characterization problem for isotropic covariance functions Mathematical Geology	2001-06-20	Paper
Criteria of Pólya type for radial positive definite functions Proceedings of the American Mathematical Society	2001-05-14	Paper
On the derivatives of radial positive definite functions Journal of Mathematical Analysis and Applications	2000-11-29	Paper
Radial positive definite functions generated by Euclid's hat Journal of Multivariate Analysis	2000-05-28	Paper
Kuttner’s problem and a Pólya type criterion for characteristic functions Proceedings of the American Mathematical Society	2000-05-22	Paper
Isotropic correlation functions on <i>d</i>-dimensional balls Advances in Applied Probability	2000-05-11	Paper
On The Uncertainty Relation for Positive-Definite Probability Densities, II Statistics	2000-05-11	Paper
A Pólya type criterion for radial characteristic functions in \(\mathbb{R}^2\) Expositiones Mathematicae	1999-06-29	Paper
Normal scale mixtures and dual probability densities Journal of Statistical Computation and Simulation	1999-05-30	Paper
Simple tests for the validity of correlation function models on the circle Statistics & Probability Letters	1999-04-07	Paper
On the Bernstein-Hausdorff-Widder conditions for completely monotone functions Expositiones Mathematicae	1998-08-10	Paper
On \(\alpha\)-symmetric multivariate characteristic functions Journal of Multivariate Analysis	1998-07-01	Paper
On the Uncertainty Relation for Positive Definite Probability Densities Statistics	1998-05-26	Paper
scientific article; zbMATH DE number 1033373 (Why is no real title available?)	1997-07-13	Paper

Research outcomes over time

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