Calibrated Probabilistic Forecasting at the Stateline Wind Energy Center

DOI10.1198/016214506000000456zbMath1120.62341OpenAlexW2086284119MaRDI QIDQ5755009

Marc G. Genton, Kristin Larson, Tilmann Gneiting, Kenneth Westrick, Eric Mark Aldrich

Publication date: 20 August 2007

Published in: Journal of the American Statistical Association (Search for Journal in Brave)

Full work available at URL: https://doi.org/10.1198/016214506000000456

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Inference from spatial processes (62M30) Applications of statistics to environmental and related topics (62P12) Meteorology and atmospheric physics (86A10)

Related Items

Probabilistic wind speed forecasting using Bayesian model averaging with truncated normal components, Space-time short- to medium-term wind speed forecasting, Robust Likelihood Methods Based on the Skew-t and Related Distributions, Spatio-temporal hydro forecasting of multireservoir inflows for hydro-thermal scheduling, Phenomenological forecasting of disease incidence using heteroskedastic Gaussian processes: a dengue case study, Stochastic simulation of predictive space-time scenarios of wind speed using observations and physical model outputs, Forecasting wind speed with recurrent neural networks, Approaches for multi-step density forecasts with application to aggregated wind power, On detecting non‐monotonic trends in environmental time series: a fusion of local regression and bootstrap, Assessing the performance of model-based clustering methods in multivariate time series with application to identifying regional wind regimes, A dynamic nonstationary spatio-temporal model for short term prediction of precipitation, Evaluating the impacts of climate change on diurnal wind power cycles using multiple regional climate models, Probabilistic wind speed forecasting on a grid based on ensemble model output statistics, Gaussian random fields on the product of spheres: theory and applications, Space-time wind speed forecasting for improved power system dispatch, Comments on: Space-time wind speed forecasting for improved power system dispatch, Rejoinder on: Space-time wind speed forecasting for improved power system dispatch, The affinely invariant distance correlation, Short-term wind speed forecasting in Germany, Incorporating geostrophic wind information for improved space-time short-term wind speed forecasting, Probabilistic forecasting of wind power ramp events using autoregressive logit models, Using Conditional Kernel Density Estimation for Wind Power Density Forecasting, Probabilistic Forecasts, Calibration and Sharpness, A spliced gamma-generalized Pareto model for short-term extreme wind speed probabilistic forecasting, Spatio-temporal short-term wind forecast: a calibrated regime-switching method, Wind energy: forecasting challenges for its operational management, Comments on: Space-time wind speed forecasting for improved power system dispatch, A Score Regression Approach to Assess Calibration of Continuous Probabilistic Predictions, Multi-aspect renewable energy forecasting, Assessing probabilistic forecasts of multivariate quantities, with an application to ensemble predictions of surface winds, Catching Uncertainty of Wind: A Blend of Sieve Bootstrap and Regime Switching Models for Probabilistic Short-Term Forecasting of Wind Speed, Statistical Methods for Regular Monitoring Data, A class of stochastic volatility models for environmental applications