James Morley

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Publication	Date of Publication	Type
A Simple Correction for Misspecification in Trend-Cycle Decompositions with an Application to Estimating r *	2024-10-28	Paper
Does the survey of professional forecasters help predict the shape of recessions in real time?	2024-03-20	Paper
When is discretionary fiscal policy effective?	2023-04-27	Paper
Improving likelihood-ratio-based confidence intervals for threshold parameters in finite samples	2023-03-30	Paper
Reproducing business cycle features: are nonlinear dynamics a proxy for multivariate information?	2023-03-13	Paper
State-dependent effects of fiscal policy	2023-03-07	Paper
Nowcasting the output gap	2022-12-14	Paper
Testing for a Markov-Switching Mean in Serially Correlated Data	2018-12-13	Paper
Structural evolution of the postwar U.S. economy	2018-11-01	Paper
Likelihood-ratio-based confidence sets for the timing of structural breaks	2018-09-12	Paper
What factors drive the price-rent ratio for the housing market? A modified present-value analysis	2018-08-13	Paper
Trend/cycle decomposition of regime-switching processes	2016-06-22	Paper
Chapter 3 The Importance of Nonlinearity in Reproducing Business Cycle Features	2007-07-23	Paper
A state-space approach to calculating the Beveridge-Nelson decomposition.	2002-07-15	Paper

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