Tilmann Gneiting

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List of research outcomes

This list is not complete and representing at the moment only items from zbMATH Open and arXiv. We are working on additional sources - please check back here soon!

PublicationDate of PublicationType
Stable reliability diagrams for probabilistic classifiers
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America
2025-03-05Paper
Easy Uncertainty Quantification (EasyUQ): Generating Predictive Distributions from Single-Valued Model Output
SIAM Review
2024-02-15Paper
Comparative evaluation of point process forecasts
Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics
2024-01-16Paper
Regression diagnostics meets forecast evaluation: conditional calibration, reliability diagrams, and coefficient of determination
Electronic Journal of Statistics
2024-01-05Paper
Regression diagnostics meets forecast evaluation: conditional calibration, reliability diagrams, and coefficient of determination
Electronic Journal of Statistics
2024-01-05Paper
Predictive Inference Based on Markov Chain Monte Carlo Output
International Statistical Review
2023-12-13Paper
Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) movies, universal ROC (UROC) curves, and coefficient of predictive ability (CPA)
Machine Learning
2022-11-28Paper
Predictions are difficult, especially about the future: short-term forecasts in the pandemic
Mitteilungen der Deutschen Mathematiker-Vereinigung (DMV)
2022-08-15Paper
Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves: equivalences, beta model, and minimum distance estimation
Machine Learning
2022-08-10Paper
Isotonic Distributional Regression
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B: Statistical Methodology
2022-07-11Paper
Scoring interval forecasts: equal-tailed, shortest, and modal interval
Bernoulli
2021-07-09Paper
Stable reliability diagrams for probabilistic classifiers
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
2021-02-17Paper
Properization: constructing proper scoring rules via Bayes acts
Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics
2020-05-27Paper
Of quantiles and expectiles: consistent scoring functions, Choquet representations and forecast rankings. With discussion and authors' reply
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B: Statistical Methodology
2019-06-12Paper
Combining Probability Forecasts
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B: Statistical Methodology
2019-04-30Paper
Forecaster's dilemma: extreme events and forecast evaluation
Statistical Science
2018-10-02Paper
Forecaster's dilemma: extreme events and forecast evaluation
Statistical Science
2018-10-02Paper
When is the mode functional the Bayes classifier?2017-04-28Paper
Studies in the history of probability and statistics XLIX: On the Matérn correlation family
Biometrika
2016-06-27Paper
Uncertainty quantification in complex simulation models using ensemble copula coupling
Statistical Science
2016-03-02Paper
Uncertainty quantification in complex simulation models using ensemble copula coupling
Statistical Science
2016-03-02Paper
Estimators of fractal dimension: assessing the roughness of time series and spatial data
Statistical Science
2016-02-16Paper
Estimators of fractal dimension: assessing the roughness of time series and spatial data
Statistical Science
2016-02-16Paper
Consistent scoring functions for quantiles
Institute of Mathematical Statistics Collections
2015-07-30Paper
Gaussian random particles with flexible Hausdorff dimension
Advances in Applied Probability
2015-07-15Paper
Gaussian random particles with flexible Hausdorff dimension
Advances in Applied Probability
2015-07-15Paper
Matérn cross-covariance functions for multivariate random fields
Journal of the American Statistical Association
2015-06-16Paper
Probabilistic Weather Forecasting for Winter Road Maintenance
Journal of the American Statistical Association
2015-06-15Paper
Copula calibration
Electronic Journal of Statistics
2015-01-14Paper
Copula calibration
Electronic Journal of Statistics
2015-01-14Paper
The affinely invariant distance correlation
Bernoulli
2014-11-11Paper
The affinely invariant distance correlation
Bernoulli
2014-11-11Paper
Using Proper Divergence Functions to Evaluate Climate Models
SIAM/ASA Journal on Uncertainty Quantification
2014-02-25Paper
Strictly and non-strictly positive definite functions on spheres
Bernoulli
2013-10-17Paper
Strictly and non-strictly positive definite functions on spheres
Bernoulli
2013-10-17Paper
Combining predictive distributions
Electronic Journal of Statistics
2013-07-09Paper
Combining predictive distributions
Electronic Journal of Statistics
2013-07-09Paper
Local proper scoring rules of order two
The Annals of Statistics
2012-09-03Paper
Local proper scoring rules of order two
The Annals of Statistics
2012-09-03Paper
On the Cover-Hart Inequality: What's a Sample of Size One Worth?2012-06-15Paper
Geostatistical model averaging for locally calibrated probabilistic quantitative precipitation forecasting
Journal of the American Statistical Association
2012-03-22Paper
Making and evaluating point forecasts
Journal of the American Statistical Association
2011-10-28Paper
Comparing density forecasts using threshold- and quantile-weighted scoring rules
Journal of Business and Economic Statistics
2011-08-24Paper
Making and evaluating point forecasts
Journal of the American Statistical Association
2011-06-01Paper
Predictive model assessment for count data
Biometrics
2010-01-21Paper
Assessing probabilistic forecasts of multivariate quantities, with an application to ensemble predictions of surface winds
Test
2009-05-27Paper
Rejoinder on: Assessing probabilistic forecasts of multivariate quantities, with an application to ensemble predictions of surface winds
Test
2009-05-27Paper
Probabilistic quantitative precipitation field forecasting using a two-stage spatial model
The Annals of Applied Statistics
2009-02-10Paper
Identifiability of Finite Mixtures of Elliptical Distributions
Scandinavian Journal of Statistics
2007-12-16Paper
Probabilistic Forecasts, Calibration and Sharpness
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B: Statistical Methodology
2007-10-26Paper
scientific article; zbMATH DE number 5200004 (Why is no real title available?)2007-10-11Paper
Strictly Proper Scoring Rules, Prediction, and Estimation
Journal of the American Statistical Association
2007-09-18Paper
Calibrated Probabilistic Mesoscale Weather Field Forecasting
Journal of the American Statistical Association
2007-08-20Paper
Calibrated Probabilistic Forecasting at the Stateline Wind Energy Center
Journal of the American Statistical Association
2007-08-20Paper
Local approximation of variograms by covariance functions
Statistics & Probability Letters
2006-06-30Paper
Stochastic Models That Separate Fractal Dimension and the Hurst Effect
SIAM Review
2005-02-25Paper
Convolution roots of radial positive definite functions with compact support
Transactions of the American Mathematical Society
2004-08-13Paper
Nonseparable, Stationary Covariance Functions for Space–Time Data
Journal of the American Statistical Association
2004-06-10Paper
Stationary covariances associated with exponentially convex functions
Bernoulli
2004-06-10Paper
Necessary and sufficient conditions for the quantum Zeno and anti-Zeno effect
Journal of Physics A: Mathematical and General
2004-06-10Paper
Polynomial covariance functions on intervals
Bernoulli
2003-10-26Paper
Compactly supported correlation functions
Journal of Multivariate Analysis
2003-03-16Paper
Analogies and correspondences between variograms and covariance functions
Advances in Applied Probability
2002-05-23Paper
Curiosities of characteristic functions
Expositiones Mathematicae
2002-05-14Paper
Decomposition Theorems for α ‐‐ Symmetric Positive Definite Functions
Mathematische Nachrichten
2002-03-03Paper
Power-law correlations, related models for long-range dependence and their simulation
Journal of Applied Probability
2001-11-19Paper
Improved bounds for Laue's constant and multivariate extensions
Mathematische Nachrichten
2001-10-14Paper
Addendum to `Isotropic correlation functions on \(d\)-dimensional balls'
Advances in Applied Probability
2001-07-26Paper
Experimental Approaches to Kuttner's Problem
Experimental Mathematics
2001-07-22Paper
Experimental Approaches to Kuttner's Problem
Experimental Mathematics
2001-07-22Paper
Experimental Approaches to Kuttner's Problem
Experimental Mathematics
2001-07-22Paper
Closed form solutions of the two-dimensional turning bands equation
Mathematical Geology
2001-06-20Paper
The characterization problem for isotropic covariance functions
Mathematical Geology
2001-06-20Paper
Criteria of Pólya type for radial positive definite functions
Proceedings of the American Mathematical Society
2001-05-14Paper
On the derivatives of radial positive definite functions
Journal of Mathematical Analysis and Applications
2000-11-29Paper
Radial positive definite functions generated by Euclid's hat
Journal of Multivariate Analysis
2000-05-28Paper
Kuttner’s problem and a Pólya type criterion for characteristic functions
Proceedings of the American Mathematical Society
2000-05-22Paper
Isotropic correlation functions on <i>d</i>-dimensional balls
Advances in Applied Probability
2000-05-11Paper
On The Uncertainty Relation for Positive-Definite Probability Densities, II
Statistics
2000-05-11Paper
A Pólya type criterion for radial characteristic functions in \(\mathbb{R}^2\)
Expositiones Mathematicae
1999-06-29Paper
Normal scale mixtures and dual probability densities
Journal of Statistical Computation and Simulation
1999-05-30Paper
Simple tests for the validity of correlation function models on the circle
Statistics & Probability Letters
1999-04-07Paper
On the Bernstein-Hausdorff-Widder conditions for completely monotone functions
Expositiones Mathematicae
1998-08-10Paper
On \(\alpha\)-symmetric multivariate characteristic functions
Journal of Multivariate Analysis
1998-07-01Paper
On the Uncertainty Relation for Positive Definite Probability Densities
Statistics
1998-05-26Paper
scientific article; zbMATH DE number 1033373 (Why is no real title available?)1997-07-13Paper


Research outcomes over time


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