Perturbed Markov chains

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Abstract: We study irreducible time-homogenous Markov chains with finite state space in discrete time. We obtain results on the sensitivity of the stationary distribution and other statistical quantities with respect to perturbations of the transition matrix. We define a new closeness relation between transition matrices, and use graph-theoretic techniques, in contrast with the matrix analysis techniques previously used.


This paper contains irreducible time-homogeneous Markov chains with a finite state space in discrete time. There are interesting the effects of perturbation of the transition matrix on the stationary distribution and other statistical quantities [see \textit{P. J. Schweitzer}, J. Appl. Probab. 5, 401-413 (1968; Zbl 0196.19803)]. Let \(S\) be a finite set and \(q=(q(t)s)_{s,t\in S}\) an irreducible transition matrix. Let \(\widetilde q=(\widetilde q(t)s)_{s,t\in S}\) be another transition matrix. Denote by \(\mu=(\mu_s)_{s\in S}\) and \(\widehat \mu=(\widehat \mu_s)_{s\in S}\) the stationary distributions that correspond to \(q\) and \(\widehat q\), respectively. Schweitzer (loc. cit.) estimated \(|\mu-\widehat\mu |_\infty\) using the fundamental matrix of \textit{J. G. Kemeny} and \textit{J. L. Snell} \ [``Finite Markov chains (1960; Zbl 0089.13704)]. Important literature has followed up Schweitzer (see the authors' references). \textit{C. A. O'Cineide} [Numer. Math. 65, 109-120 (1993; Zbl 0804.65145)] studied the effects relative to the perturbations on the stationary distribution. Section 2 of the paper contains the statements of the main results. Also the authors study an example that illustrates the advantage of the closeness relation and compare the bound they derive to existing bounds. Section 3 recalls standard formulae, and states a few elementary properties of the graphs. Section 4 treats the proof of the main result. The last section deals with a variation of the main result.




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