Predicting burst events in a forced two-dimensional flow: a wavelet-based analysis

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The paper presents two wavelet-based methods for predicting extreme events in a sinusoidally forced two-dimensional Kolmogorov flow at Reynolds number of 40 with periodic boundary conditions. A wavelet proper orthogonal decomposition (WPOD) and a wavelet resolvent analysis (WRA) are proposed using orthogonal wavelets, in the present work using Haar wavelets. A comparison with Fourier-based reconstruction is likewise described. WPOD identifies flow patterns, while WRA relies on the forcing structures which amplify the flow patterns. It is found that WPOD-based methods yield better prediction results compared to the energy-based method, and that the WRA-based method is superior to the WPOD method.



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