Prevalence and trend estimation from observational data with highly variable post-stratification weights

DOI10.1214/15-AOAS874MaRDI QIDQ288562zbMATH OpenWikidataFDO

Authors Yannick Vandendijck, Christel Faes, Niel Hens

Publication date 27 May 2016

Published in The Annals of Applied Statistics (Search for Journal in Brave)

Full work available at URL https://arxiv.org/abs/1606.07228, https://projecteuclid.org/euclid.aoas/1458909909

zbMATH Keywords

nonparametric regressionbinary datarandom-effects modelempirical Bayes estimationinfluenza-like illnessobservational surveypost-stratification

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Bayesian inference (62F15) Nonparametric regression and quantile regression (62G08) Applications of statistics to biology and medical sciences; meta analysis (62P10) Sampling theory, sample surveys (62D05)

Abstract: In observational surveys, post-stratification is used to reduce bias resulting from differences between the survey population and the population under investigation. However, this can lead to inflated post-stratification weights and, therefore, appropriate methods are required to obtain less variable estimates. Proposed methods include collapsing post-strata, trimming post-stratification weights, generalized regression estimators (GREG) and weight smoothing models, the latter defined by random-effects models that induce shrinkage across post-stratum means. Here, we first describe the weight-smoothing model for prevalence estimation from binary survey outcomes in observational surveys. Second, we propose an extension of this method for trend estimation. And, third, a method is provided such that the GREG can be used for prevalence and trend estimation for observational surveys. Variance estimates of all methods are described. A simulation study is performed to compare the proposed methods with other established methods. The performance of the nonparametric GREG is consistent over all simulation conditions and therefore serves as a valuable solution for prevalence and trend estimation from observational surveys. The method is applied to the estimation of the prevalence and incidence trend of influenza-like illness using the 2010/2011 Great Influenza Survey in Flanders, Belgium.

Recommendations

• Weight smoothing for nonprobability surveys
• Approaches to improving survey-weighted estimates
• scientific article; zbMATH DE number 5769446
• A new approach to weighting and inference in sample surveys
• Weighting in survey analysis under informative sampling

Cites work

• scientific article; zbMATH DE number 1907572 (Why is no real title available?)
• A Generalization of Sampling Without Replacement From a Finite Universe
• Bayesian inference for small area proportions.
• Empirical Bayes Confidence Intervals Based on Bootstrap Samples
• Empirical Bayes Estimation in Finite Population Sampling
• Estimation of the mean squared error of predictors of small area linear parameters under a logistic mixed model
• Generalized linear mixed models a pseudo-likelihood approach
• On finite population sampling theory under certain linear regression models
• Post-Stratification: A Modeler's Perspective
• Prevalence and trend estimation from observational data with highly variable post-stratification weights
• Struggles with survey weighting and regression modeling
• Survey Design Under the Regression Superpopulation Model
• The Estimation of the Mean Squared Error of Small-Area Estimators
• To Model or Not To Model? Competing Modes of Inference for Finite Population Sampling

Cited in

(2)

• scientific article; zbMATH DE number 5836074 (Why is no real title available?)
• Prevalence and trend estimation from observational data with highly variable post-stratification weights

This page was built for publication: Prevalence and trend estimation from observational data with highly variable post-stratification weights

Report a bug (only for logged in users!)Click here to report a bug for this page (MaRDI item Q288562)