Sharp error terms for return time statistics under mixing conditions

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Publication:1014064

DOI10.1007/S10959-008-0199-XzbMATH Open1170.60014arXiv0812.1016OpenAlexW2041888229WikidataQ105468577 ScholiaQ105468577MaRDI QIDQ1014064FDOQ1014064

Miguel Abadi, Nicolas Vergne

Publication date: 24 April 2009

Published in: Journal of Theoretical Probability (Search for Journal in Brave)

Abstract: We describe the statistics of repetition times of a string of symbols in a stochastic process. Denote by T(A) the time elapsed until the process spells the finite string A and by S(A) the number of consecutive repetitions of A. We prove that, if the length of the string grows unbondedly, (1) the distribution of T(A), when the process starts with A, is well aproximated by a certain mixture of the point measure at the origin and an exponential law, and (2) S(A) is approximately geometrically distributed. We provide sharp error terms for each of these approximations. The errors we obtain are point-wise and allow to get also approximations for all the moments of T(A) and S(A). To obtain (1) we assume that the process is phi-mixing while to obtain (2) we assume the convergence of certain contidional probabilities.


Full work available at URL: https://arxiv.org/abs/0812.1016




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