Hellinger transform of Gaussian autoregressive processes

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Publication:1324401





Let \(P^{(t)}\) denote the distribution of \(\{y_ 0,\ldots,y_ t\}\) where \(\{y_ t\}\) is an \(m\)-dimensional stationary Gaussian AR(1) process with zero mean, \(y_{t+1}=Ay_ t+\varepsilon_{t+1}\). Denote by \(P_ i^{(t)}\), \(1\leq i\leq N\), corresponding distributions if \(A=A_ i\). Let \[ H_ \alpha(P_ 1^{(t)},\ldots,P_ N^{(t)})=\int \bigl(dP_ 1^{(t)}\bigr)^{\alpha_ 1}\cdots \bigl( dP_ N^{(t)} \bigr)^{\alpha_ N},\qquad 0<\alpha_ i<1,\qquad \sum^ N_{i=1}\alpha_ i=1, \] denote the Hellinger transform. The Hellinger transform tends exponentially to zero as \(t\to\infty\). The main result of the paper is an explicit expression for this rate, i.e. \(\lim_{t\to\infty}(1/(t+1))\ln H_ \alpha(P_ 1^{(t)},\ldots,P_ N^{(t)})\) is explicitly evaluated in terms of the corresponding spectral densities. This result is sharpened for one-dimensional autoregressive processes.











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