Exciting chaos with noise: unexpected dynamics in epidemic outbreaks

DOI10.1007/S002850100110MaRDI QIDQ1605960zbMATH OpenOpenAlexWikidataFDO

Authors Lora Billings, Ira B. Schwartz

Publication date 29 July 2002

Published in Journal of Mathematical Biology (Search for Journal in Brave)

Full work available at URL https://doi.org/10.1007/s002850100110

zbMATH Keywords

Lyapunov exponentsbi-instability

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Epidemiology (92D30) Strange attractors, chaotic dynamics of systems with hyperbolic behavior (37D45) Dynamical systems in biology (37N25)

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Cited in

(25)

• Multi-stability and multi-instability phenomena in a mathematical model of tumor-immune-virus interactions
• Threshold dynamics for compartmental epidemic models in periodic environments
• Parametric dependence in model epidemics. I: Contact-related parameters
• Estimating variability in models for recurrent epidemics: assessing the use of moment closure techniques
• Parametric dependence in model epidemics. II: Non-contact rate-related parameters
• Complementarity between term-time forcing and delayed vaccination response in explaining irregular dynamics in childhood diseases
• Seasonality in epidemic models: a literature review
• Dynamics of infectious diseases and pulse vaccination: Teasing apart the embedded resonance effects
• Periodic solutions of an epidemic model with saturated treatment
• Controlling infectious diseases: the decisive phase effect on a seasonal vaccination strategy
• Resonance of the epidemic threshold in a periodic environment
• NOISE-INDUCED CHAOS: A CONSEQUENCE OF LONG DETERMINISTIC TRANSIENTS
• On the optimal vaccination strategies for horizontally and vertically transmitted infectious diseases
• Oscillations and chaos in epidemics: A nonlinear dynamic study of six childhood diseases in Copenhagen, Denmark
• External forcing of ecological and epidemiological systems: a resonance approach
• Multi-scale continuum mechanics: From global bifurcations to noise induced high-dimensional chaos
• Noise-induced chaos in a piecewise linear system
• A manifold independent approach to understanding transport in stochastic dynamical systems
• Chaos in a seasonally perturbed SIR model: avian influenza in a seabird colony as a paradigm
• Scaling properties of childhood infectious diseases epidemics before and after mass vaccination in Canada
• Chaos analysis and explicit series solutions to the seasonally forced SIR epidemic model
• Predicting unobserved exposures from seasonal epidemic data
• Accurate noise projection for reduced stochastic epidemic models
• Identifying almost invariant sets in stochastic dynamical systems
• Seasonal dynamics and thresholds governing recurrent epidemics

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