Fixation and absorption in a fluctuating environment

DOI10.1016/J.JTBI.2018.01.004zbMATH Open1397.92451arXiv1710.08807OpenAlexW2963213838WikidataQ50060044 ScholiaQ50060044MaRDI QIDQ1635547FDOQ1635547

Authors: Matan Danino, Nadav M. Shnerb 

Publication date: 7 June 2018

Published in: Journal of Theoretical Biology (Search for Journal in Brave)

Abstract: A fundamental problem in the fields of population genetics, evolution, and community ecology, is the fate of a single mutant, or invader, introduced in a finite population of wild types. For a fixed-size community of $N$ individuals, with Markovian, zero-sum dynamics driven by stochastic birth-death events, the mutant population eventually reaches either fixation or extinction. The classical analysis, provided by Kimura and his coworkers, is focused on the neutral case, [where the dynamics is only due to demographic stochasticity (drift)], and on emph{time-independent} selective forces (deleterious/beneficial mutation). However, both theoretical arguments and empirical analyses suggest that in many cases the selective forces fluctuate in time (temporal environmental stochasticity). Here we consider a generic model for a system with demographic noise and fluctuating selection. Our system is characterized by the time-averaged (log)-fitness $s_0$ and zero-mean fitness fluctuations. These fluctuations, in turn, are parameterized by their amplitude $gamma$ and their correlation time $delta$. We provide asymptotic (large $N$) formulas for the chance of fixation, the mean time to fixation and the mean time to absorption. Our expressions interpolate correctly between the constant selection limit $gammao0$ and the time-averaged neutral case $s_0=0$.

Full work available at URL: https://arxiv.org/abs/1710.08807

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zbMATH Keywords

driftselectionevolutionenvironmental stochasticityabsorptiondemographic stochasticityfixation

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Genetics and epigenetics (92D10) Problems related to evolution (92D15)

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Cited In (14)

• The statistics of fixation times for systems with recruitment
• Environmental stochasticity and the speed of evolution
• Absorption and fixation times for neutral and quasi-neutral populations with density dependence
• Population genetics with fluctuating population sizes
• On the Simpson index for the Wright-Fisher process with random selection and immigration
• Fixation in the stochastic Lotka-Volterra model with small fitness trade-offs
• Fixation properties of rock-paper-scissors games in fluctuating populations
• Quasi-neutral evolution in populations under small demographic fluctuations
• Neutral competition in a deterministically changing environment: revisiting continuum approaches
• Environmental fluctuations and level of density-compensation strongly affects the probability of fixation and fixation times
• Quantitative approximation of the discrete Moran process by a Wright-Fisher diffusion
• Exact computation of growth-rate variance in randomly fluctuating environment
• Processes governing species richness in communities exposed to temporal environmental stochasticity: a review and synthesis of modelling approaches
• Effect of compositional fluctuation on the survival of bet-hedging species

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