Stein's method for positively associated random variables with applications to the Ising and voter models, bond percolation, and contact process

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Publication:1635976

DOI10.1214/16-AIHP808zbMATH Open1393.60030arXiv1603.05322MaRDI QIDQ1635976FDOQ1635976


Authors: Larry Goldstein, Nathakhun Wiroonsri Edit this on Wikidata


Publication date: 1 June 2018

Published in: Annales de l'Institut Henri Poincaré. Probabilités et Statistiques (Search for Journal in Brave)

Abstract: We provide non-asymptotic L1 bounds to the normal for four well-known models in statistical physics and particle systems in mathbbZd; the ferromagnetic nearest-neighbor Ising model, the supercritical bond percolation model, the voter model and the contact process. In the Ising model, we obtain an L1 distance bound between the total magnetization and the normal distribution at any temperature when the magnetic moment parameter is nonzero, and when the inverse temperature is below critical and the magnetic moment parameter is zero. In the percolation model we obtain such a bound for the total number of points in a finite region belonging to an infinite cluster in dimensions dge2, in the voter model for the occupation time of the origin in dimensions dge7, and for finite time integrals of non-constant increasing cylindrical functions evaluated on the one dimensional supercritical contact process started in its unique invariant distribution. The tool developed for these purposes is a version of Stein's method adapted to positively associated random variables. In one dimension, letting be a positively associated mean zero random vector with components that obey the bound |xii|leB,i=1,ldots,m, and whose sum W=sumi=1mxii has variance 1, it holds that d_1 left(mathcal{L}(W),mathcal{L}(Z) ight) leq 5B + sqrt{frac{8}{pi}}sum_{i eq j} mathbb{E}[xi_i xi_j] where Z has the standard normal distribution and d1(cdot,cdot) is the L1 metric. Our methods apply in the multidimensional case with the L1 metric replaced by a smooth function metric.


Full work available at URL: https://arxiv.org/abs/1603.05322




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