Generalized accelerated failure time frailty model for systems subject to imperfect preventive maintenance

DOI10.1155/2015/908742MaRDI QIDQ1666897zbMATH OpenOpenAlexWikidataFDO

Authors Huilin Yin, Xiaohan Yang, Rui Peng

Publication date 27 August 2018

Published in Mathematical Problems in Engineering (Search for Journal in Brave)

Copyright license Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 Unported

Full work available at URL https://doi.org/10.1155/2015/908742

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Reliability and life testing (62N05) Reliability, availability, maintenance, inspection in operations research (90B25)

Review text

Summary: Imperfect preventive maintenance (PM) activities are very common in industrial systems. For condition-based maintenance (CBM), it is necessary to model the failure likelihood of systems subject to imperfect PM activities. In this paper, the models in the field of survival analysis are introduced into CBM. Namely, the generalized accelerated failure time (AFT) frailty model is investigated to model the failure likelihood of industrial systems. Further, on the basis of the traditional maximum likelihood (ML) estimation and expectation maximization (EM) algorithm, the hybrid ML-EM algorithm is investigated for the estimation of parameters. The hybrid iterative estimation procedure is analyzed in detail. In the evaluation experiment, the generated data of a typical degradation model are verified to be appropriate for the real industrial processes with imperfect PM activities. The estimates of the model parameters are calculated using the training data. Then, the performance of the model is analyzed through the prediction of remaining useful life (RUL) using the testing data. Finally, comparison between the results of the proposed model and the existing model verifies the effectiveness of the generalized AFT frailty model.

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Cites work

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Cited in

(3)

• A discrete MMAP for analysing the behaviour of a multi-state complex dynamic system subject to multiple events
• scientific article; zbMATH DE number 1850462 (Why is no real title available?)
• Imperfect maintenance in a generalized competing risks framework

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