How old is this bird? The age distribution under some phase sampling schemes

DOI10.1007/S00285-017-1121-XzbMATH Open1418.60110arXiv1504.03527OpenAlexW2964203743WikidataQ47902158 ScholiaQ47902158MaRDI QIDQ1679002FDOQ1679002

Authors: Sophie Hautphenne, Melanie Massaro, P. G. Taylor 

Publication date: 8 November 2017

Published in: Journal of Mathematical Biology (Search for Journal in Brave)

Abstract: In this paper, we use a finite-state continuous-time Markov chain with one absorbing state to model an individual's lifetime. Under this model, the time of death follows a phase-type distribution, and the transient states of the Markov chain are known as phases. We then attempt to provide an answer to the simple question "What is the conditional age distribution of the individual, given its current phase"? We show that the answer depends on how we interpret the question, and in particular, on the phase observation scheme under consideration. We then apply our results to the computation of the age pyramid for the endangered Chatham Island black robin Petroica traversi during years of intensive conservation efforts in 1980-1989.

Full work available at URL: https://arxiv.org/abs/1504.03527

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zbMATH Keywords

phase-type distributionage distribution\textit{Petroica traversi}transient Markov chain

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Population dynamics (general) (92D25) Continuous-time Markov processes on discrete state spaces (60J27) General biology and biomathematics (92B05)

Cites Work

• Title not available (Why is that?)
• Title not available (Why is that?)
• Markov aging process and phase-type law of mortality
• Computing multiple integrals involving matrix exponentials
• Fitting Markovian binary trees using global and individual demographic data

Cited In (2)

• Occupancy time in sets of states for demographic models
• Fitting Markovian binary trees using global and individual demographic data

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