The distribution of the time taken for an epidemic to spread between two communities

DOI10.1016/J.MBS.2018.07.004zbMATH Open1405.92274OpenAlexW2846985359WikidataQ57169861 ScholiaQ57169861MaRDI QIDQ1711972FDOQ1711972

Authors: Ada W. C. Yan, Andrew J. Black, James M. McCaw, Annalisa J. Swan, R. I. Hickson, Nicolas P. Rebuli, J. V. Ross 

Publication date: 18 January 2019

Published in: Mathematical Biosciences (Search for Journal in Brave)

Full work available at URL: http://hdl.handle.net/2440/114085

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zbMATH Keywords

branching processmetapopulationextinction probabilityarrival timedisease spread

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Epidemiology (92D30) Applications of branching processes (60J85)

Cites Work

• On a functional central limit theorem for Markov population processes
• The impact of spatial arrangements on epidemic disease dynamics and intervention strategies
• A mathematical model for the global spread of influenza
• Epidemics with two levels of mixing
• Solutions of ordinary differential equations as limits of pure jump markov processes
• Limit theorems for sequences of jump Markov processes approximating ordinary differential processes
• Title not available (Why is that?)
• Invasion threshold in structured populations with recurrent mobility patterns
• Modeling importations and exportations of infectious diseases via travelers
• Global disease spread: statistics and estimation of arrival times
• The probability of epidemic fade-out is non-monotonic in transmission rate for the Markovian SIR model with demography
• The threshold behaviour of epidemic models
• Probability of a disease outbreak in stochastic multipatch epidemic models
• Estimating the basic reproductive number during the early stages of an emerging epidemic
• Branching processes in biology
• Fluctuation effects in metapopulation models: percolation and pandemic threshold
• Hybrid Markov chain models of S-I-R disease dynamics
• Extinction times and phase transitions for spatially structured closed epidemics.
• The probability of extinction of infectious salmon anemia virus in one and two patches
• Discrete stochastic metapopulation model with arbitrarily distributed infectious period

Cited In (2)

• Correlations between stochastic endemic infection in multiple interacting subpopulations
• Temporal and probabilistic comparisons of epidemic interventions

Uses Software

• Matlab
• Octave

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