The distribution of the time taken for an epidemic to spread between two communities

DOI10.1016/J.MBS.2018.07.004MaRDI QIDQ1711972zbMATH OpenOpenAlexWikidataFDO

Authors Ada W. C. Yan, Andrew J. Black, James M. McCaw, Annalisa J. Swan, R. I. Hickson, Nicolas P. Rebuli, J. V. Ross

Publication date 18 January 2019

Published in Mathematical Biosciences (Search for Journal in Brave)

Full work available at URL http://hdl.handle.net/2440/114085

zbMATH Keywords

branching processmetapopulationextinction probabilityarrival timedisease spread

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Epidemiology (92D30) Applications of branching processes (60J85)

Recommendations

• An outbreak spread and travelling waves in spatially distributed populations
• Assessing the impact of intervention delays on stochastic epidemics
• Epidemic spreading in time-varying community networks
• How local interactions impact the dynamics of an epidemic
• The effect of time distribution shape on a complex epidemic model

Cites work

• scientific article; zbMATH DE number 3190745 (Why is no real title available?)
• A mathematical model for the global spread of influenza
• Branching processes in biology
• Discrete stochastic metapopulation model with arbitrarily distributed infectious period
• Epidemics with two levels of mixing
• Estimating the basic reproductive number during the early stages of an emerging epidemic
• Extinction times and phase transitions for spatially structured closed epidemics.
• Fluctuation effects in metapopulation models: percolation and pandemic threshold
• Global disease spread: statistics and estimation of arrival times
• Hybrid Markov chain models of S-I-R disease dynamics
• Invasion threshold in structured populations with recurrent mobility patterns
• Limit theorems for sequences of jump Markov processes approximating ordinary differential processes
• Modeling importations and exportations of infectious diseases via travelers
• On a functional central limit theorem for Markov population processes
• Probability of a disease outbreak in stochastic multipatch epidemic models
• Solutions of ordinary differential equations as limits of pure jump markov processes
• The impact of spatial arrangements on epidemic disease dynamics and intervention strategies
• The probability of epidemic fade-out is non-monotonic in transmission rate for the Markovian SIR model with demography
• The probability of extinction of infectious salmon anemia virus in one and two patches
• The threshold behaviour of epidemic models

Cited in

(2)

• Correlations between stochastic endemic infection in multiple interacting subpopulations
• Temporal and probabilistic comparisons of epidemic interventions

Describes a project that uses

Uses Software

• Octave
• Matlab

This page was built for publication: The distribution of the time taken for an epidemic to spread between two communities

Report a bug (only for logged in users!)Click here to report a bug for this page (MaRDI item Q1711972)