Likelihood-free Bayesian inference for -stable models
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Publication:1927152
Abstract: -stable distributions are utilised as models for heavy-tailed noise in many areas of statistics, finance and signal processing engineering. However, in general, neither univariate nor multivariate -stable models admit closed form densities which can be evaluated pointwise. This complicates the inferential procedure. As a result, -stable models are practically limited to the univariate setting under the Bayesian paradigm, and to bivariate models under the classical framework. In this article we develop a novel Bayesian approach to modelling univariate and multivariate -stable distributions based on recent advances in "likelihood-free" inference. We present an evaluation of the performance of this procedure in 1, 2 and 3 dimensions, and provide an analysis of real daily currency exchange rate data. The proposed approach provides a feasible inferential methodology at a moderate computational cost.
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