A network with tunable clustering, degree correlation and degree distribution, and an epidemic thereon

DOI10.1007/S00285-012-0609-7zbMATH Open1258.92031arXiv1207.3205OpenAlexW2139542482WikidataQ42286068 ScholiaQ42286068MaRDI QIDQ1944648FDOQ1944648

Authors: Frank Ball, T. Britton, David Sirl 

Publication date: 26 March 2013

Published in: Journal of Mathematical Biology (Search for Journal in Brave)

Abstract: A random network model which allows for tunable, quite general forms of clustering, degree correlation and degree distribution is defined. The model is an extension of the configuration model, in which stubs (half-edges) are paired to form a network. Clustering is obtained by forming small completely connected subgroups, and positive (negative) degree correlation is obtained by connecting a fraction of the stubs with stubs of similar (dissimilar) degree. An SIR (Susceptible -> Infective -> Recovered) epidemic model is defined on this network. Asymptotic properties of both the network and the epidemic, as the population size tends to infinity, are derived: the degree distribution, degree correlation and clustering coefficient, as well as a reproduction number $R_{*}$, the probability of a major outbreak and the relative size of such an outbreak. The theory is illustrated by Monte Carlo simulations and numerical examples. The main findings are that clustering tends to decrease the spread of disease, the effect of degree correlation is appreciably greater when the disease is close to threshold than when it is well above threshold and disease spread broadly increases with degree correlation $ho$ when $R_{*}$ is just above its threshold value of one and decreases with $ho$ when $R_{*}$ is well above one.

Full work available at URL: https://arxiv.org/abs/1207.3205

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zbMATH Keywords

random graphbranching processSIR epidemicconfiguration modelthreshold behaviourepidemic size

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Monte Carlo methods (65C05) Epidemiology (92D30) Random graphs (graph-theoretic aspects) (05C80) Systems biology, networks (92C42) Branching processes (Galton-Watson, birth-and-death, etc.) (60J80)

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Cited In (15)

• Basic reproduction number for the SIR epidemic in degree correlated networks
• Mean Field at Distance One
• Epidemic models on social networks—With inference
• The epidemic model based on the approximation for third-order motifs on networks
• Variability in a community-structured SIS epidemiological model
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• Edge-based epidemic spreading in degree-correlated complex networks
• Dynamics analysis of SIR epidemic model with correlation coefficients and clustering coefficient in networks

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