Modeling threshold exceedance probabilities of spatially correlated time series

DOI10.1214/08-EJS252MaRDI QIDQ1951972zbMATH OpenFDO

Authors Dana Draghicescu, Rosaria Ignaccolo

Publication date 27 May 2013

Published in Electronic Journal of Statistics (Search for Journal in Brave)

Full work available at URL https://arxiv.org/abs/0901.4647, https://projecteuclid.org/euclid.ejs/1233176793

zbMATH Keywords

PM\(_{10}\)smoothingspatial interpolationspatial time seriesthreshold exceedance probabilityvisualization

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Graphical methods in statistics (62A09) Inference from spatial processes (62M30) Applications of statistics to environmental and related topics (62P12)

Abstract: The Commission of the European Union, as well the United States Environmental Protection Agency, have set limit values for some pollutants in the ambient air that have been shown to have adverse effects on human and environmental health. It is therefore important to identify regions where the probability of exceeding those limits is high. We propose a two-step procedure for estimating the probability of exceeding the legal limits that combines smoothing in the time domain with spatial interpolation. For illustration, we show an application to particulate matter with diameter less than 10 microns (PM${}_{10}$) in the North-Italian region Piemonte.

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Cited in

(5)

• A time dependent Bayesian nonparametric model for air quality analysis
• Dependent functional data
• Spatio-temporal exceedance locations and confidence regions
• Space–Time Modelling of Extreme Events
• A Space-Time Skew-t Model for Threshold Exceedances

Describes a project that uses

Uses Software

• KernSmooth

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