High-dimensional covariance estimation by minimizing _1-penalized log-determinant divergence

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Publication:1952214




Abstract: Given i.i.d. observations of a random vector XinmathbbRp, we study the problem of estimating both its covariance matrix Sigma, and its inverse covariance or concentration matrix {Theta=(Sigma)1.} We estimate Theta by minimizing an ell1-penalized log-determinant Bregman divergence; in the multivariate Gaussian case, this approach corresponds to ell1-penalized maximum likelihood, and the structure of Theta is specified by the graph of an associated Gaussian Markov random field. We analyze the performance of this estimator under high-dimensional scaling, in which the number of nodes in the graph p, the number of edges s and the maximum node degree d, are allowed to grow as a function of the sample size n. In addition to the parameters (p,s,d), our analysis identifies other key quantities covariance matrix Sigma; and (b) the ellinfty operator norm of the sub-matrix GammaSS, where S indexes the graph edges, and Gamma=(Theta)1otimes(Theta)1; and (c) a mutual incoherence or irrepresentability measure on the matrix Gamma and (d) the rate of decay 1/f(n,delta) on the probabilities |hatSigmaijnSigmaij|>delta, where hatSigman is the sample covariance based on n samples. Our first result establishes consistency of our estimate hatTheta in the elementwise maximum-norm. This in turn allows us to derive convergence rates in Frobenius and spectral norms, with improvements upon existing results for graphs with maximum node degrees d=o(sqrts). In our second result, we show that with probability converging to one, the estimate hatTheta correctly specifies the zero pattern of the concentration matrix Theta.



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