Rho-estimators revisited: general theory and applications

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Publication:1990601

DOI10.1214/17-AOS1675zbMATH Open1407.62169arXiv1605.05051MaRDI QIDQ1990601FDOQ1990601


Authors: L. Birgé, Yannick Baraud Edit this on Wikidata


Publication date: 25 October 2018

Published in: The Annals of Statistics (Search for Journal in Brave)

Abstract: Following Baraud, Birg'e and Sart (2017), we pursue our attempt to design a robust universal estimator of the joint ditribution of n independent (but not necessarily i.i.d.) observations for an Hellinger-type loss. Given such observations with an unknown joint distribution mathbfP and a dominated model mathscrQ for mathbfP, we build an estimator widehatmathbfP based on mathscrQ and measure its risk by an Hellinger-type distance. When mathbfP does belong to the model, this risk is bounded by some quantity which relies on the local complexity of the model in a vicinity of mathbfP. In most situations this bound corresponds to the minimax risk over the model (up to a possible logarithmic factor). When mathbfP does not belong to the model, its risk involves an additional bias term proportional to the distance between mathbfP and mathscrQ, whatever the true distribution mathbfP. From this point of view, this new version of ho-estimators improves upon the previous one described in Baraud, Birg'e and Sart (2017) which required that mathbfP be absolutely continuous with respect to some known reference measure. Further additional improvements have been brought as compared to the former construction. In particular, it provides a very general treatment of the regression framework with random design as well as a computationally tractable procedure for aggregating estimators. We also give some conditions for the Maximum Likelihood Estimator to be a ho-estimator. Finally, we consider the situation where the Statistician has at disposal many different models and we build a penalized version of the ho-estimator for model selection and adaptation purposes. In the regression setting, this penalized estimator not only allows to estimate the regression function but also the distribution of the errors.


Full work available at URL: https://arxiv.org/abs/1605.05051




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