On the three properties of stationary populations and knotting with non-stationary populations

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Publication:2008271



Abstract: A population is considered stationary if the growth rate is zero and the age structure is constant. It thus follows that a population is considered non-stationary if either its growth rate is non-zero and/or its age structure is non-constant. We propose three properties that are related to the stationary population identity (SPI) of population biology by connecting it with stationary populations and non-stationary populations which are approaching stationarity. One of these important properties is that SPI can be applied to partition a population into stationary and non-stationary components. These properties provide deeper insights into cohort formation in real-world populations and the length of the duration for which stationary and non-stationary conditions hold. The new concepts are based on the time gap between the occurrence of stationary and non-stationary populations within the SPI framework that we refer to as Oscillatory SPI and the Amplitude of SPI. This article will appear in Bulletin of Mathematical Biology (Springer)


The authors propose three properties related to the stationary population identity of population biology, i.e., the equality of proportions of populations at each age of a stationary population at time \(t\) and the remaining number of years left to live at each age. The authors connect this identity with stationary populations and non-stationary populations approaching stationarity. One of these properties is that the stationary population identity can be used to partition a population into stationary and non-stationary components. According to the second result, if the stationary population identity holds for a population, then it also holds for all stationary subpopulations of the original population, while it does not necessarily hold for all non-stationary subpopulations of the original population. The authors then show that, for a predominantly stationary population, the stationary population identity exists except for shorter intermittent intervals when the population is non-stationary. It is important to link the actuarial properties of populations with their age structure as the stationary population identity does, hence, a careful study of this identity may provide important new insights into these linkages. The properties obtained in the paper give a better understanding of cohort formation in real-world populations and the length of the duration for which stationary and non-stationary conditions hold.











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