An application of the coherent noise model for the prediction of aftershock magnitude time series

DOI10.1155/2017/6853892MaRDI QIDQ2012823zbMATH OpenOpenAlexWikidataFDO

Authors Stavros-Richard G. Christopoulos, Nicholas V. Sarlis

Publication date 3 August 2017

Published in Complexity (Search for Journal in Brave)

Copyright license Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International

Full work available at URL https://doi.org/10.1155/2017/6853892

zbMATH Keywords

aftershock sequencescoherent noise modelforthcoming earthquake magnitudeprediction algorithmpredictor time series

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Observability (93B07)

Review text

Summary: Recently, the study of the coherent noise model has led to a simple (binary) prediction algorithm for the forthcoming earthquake magnitude in aftershock sequences. This algorithm is based on the concept of natural time and exploits the complexity exhibited by the coherent noise model. Here, using the relocated catalogue from Southern California Seismic Network for 1981 to June 2011, we evaluate the application of this algorithm for the aftershocks of strong earthquakes of magnitude \(M \geq 6\). The study is also extended by using the Global Centroid Moment Tensor Project catalogue to the case of the six strongest earthquakes in the Earth during the last almost forty years. The predictor time series exhibits the ubiquitous \(1 / f\) noise behavior.

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Describes a project that uses

Uses Software

• PhysioToolkit
• TISEAN

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