Causal analysis of an agent-based model of human behaviour

DOI10.1155/2017/8381954MaRDI QIDQ2012856zbMATH OpenOpenAlexWikidataFDO

Authors Marcel Kvassay, Peter Krammer, Ladislav Hluchý, Bernhard Schneider

Publication date 3 August 2017

Published in Complexity (Search for Journal in Brave)

Copyright license Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International

Full work available at URL https://doi.org/10.1155/2017/8381954

zbMATH Keywords

agent-based modelhuman behaviornonlinear structural causality

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Utility theory for games (91A30) Nonlinear systems in control theory (93C10)

Review text

Summary: This article investigates causal relationships leading to emergence in an agent-based model of human behavior. A new method based on nonlinear structural causality is formulated and practically demonstrated. The method is based on the concept of a \textit{causal partition} of a model variable which quantifies the contribution of various factors to its numerical value. Causal partitions make it possible to judge the relative importance of contributing factors over crucial early periods in which the emergent behavior of a system begins to form. They can also serve as the predictors of emergence. The time-evolution of their predictive power and its distribution among their components hint at the deeper causes of emergence and the possibilities to control it.

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Cites work

• Causes and Explanations: A Structural-Model Approach. Part I: Causes
• Causes and Explanations: A Structural-Model Approach. Part II: Explanations
• scientific article; zbMATH DE number 1493045 (Why is no real title available?)

Cited in

(2)

• A computational model for complex systems analysis: causality estimation
• Agent model analysis to explore effects of interaction and environment on individual performance

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