A branching process model for dormancy and seed banks in randomly fluctuating environments

DOI10.1007/S00285-021-01639-6zbMATH Open1468.92053arXiv2007.06393OpenAlexW3184723678WikidataQ113905487 ScholiaQ113905487MaRDI QIDQ2047166FDOQ2047166

Felix Hermann, Martin Slowik, Jochen Blath

Publication date: 19 August 2021

Published in: Journal of Mathematical Biology (Search for Journal in Brave)

Abstract: The goal of this article is to contribute towards the conceptual and quantitative understanding of the evolutionary benefits for (microbial) populations to maintain a seed bank (consisting of dormant individuals) when facing fluctuating environmental conditions. To this end, we compare the long term behaviour of `1-type' Bienaym'e-Galton-Watson branching processes (describing populations consisting of `active' individuals only) with that of a class of `2-type' branching processes, describing populations consisting of `active' and `dormant' individuals. All processes are embedded in an environment changing randomly between `harsh' and `healthy' conditions, affecting the reproductive behaviour of the populations accordingly. For the 2-type branching processes, we consider several different switching regimes between active and dormant states. We also impose overall resource limitations which incorporate the potentially different `production costs' of active and dormant offspring, leading to the notion of `fair comparison' between different populations, and allow for a reproductive trade-off due to the maintenance of the dormancy trait. Our switching regimes include the case where switches from active to dormant states and vice versa happen randomly, irrespective of the state of the environment (`spontaneous switching'), but also the case where switches are triggered by the environment (`responsive switching'), as well as combined strategies. It turns out that there are rather natural scenarios under which either switching strategy can be super-critical, while the others, as well as complete absence of a seed bank, are strictly sub-critical, even under `fair comparison' wrt. available resources. In such a case, we see a clear selective advantage of the super-critical strategy, which is retained even under the presence of a (potentially small) reproductive trade-off. [...]

Full work available at URL: https://arxiv.org/abs/2007.06393

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zbMATH Keywords

persistencebranching processfitnessseed bankdormancy[https://portal.mardi4nfdi.de/w/index.php?title=+Special%3ASearch&search=Bienaym%EF%BF%BD%EF%BF%BD-Galton-Watson+process&go=Go Bienaym��-Galton-Watson process]

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Population dynamics (general) (92D25) Branching processes (Galton-Watson, birth-and-death, etc.) (60J80) Processes in random environments (60K37)

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Cited In (12)

• The contact process with switching
• \(\Lambda\)-coalescents arising in a population with dormancy
• Spatial populations with seed-banks in random environment. III: Convergence towards mono-type equilibrium
• ESS germination strategies in randomly varying environments. II. Reciprocal yield-law models
• On the role of reduced habitat in the phase transition of a stochastic model for seed dispersal
• Modeling and analysis of a density-dependent stochastic integral projection model for a disturbance specialist plant and its seed bank
• Dormancy in stochastic population models
• Does dormancy increase fitness of bacterial populations in time-varying environments?
• Optimal dormancy strategies in fluctuating environments given delays in phenotypic switching
• Life-history traits and the replicator equation
• A stochastic population model for the impact of cancer cell dormancy on therapy success
• Generalized Lyapunov exponents and aspects of the theory of deep learning

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