An international initiative of predicting the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic using ensemble data assimilation

DOI10.3934/FODS.2021001MaRDI QIDQ2072647zbMATH OpenOpenAlexFDO

Authors Geir Evensen, Javier Amezcua, M. Bocquet, Alberto Carrassi, Alban Farchi, Alison Fowler, Pieter L. Houtekamer, Christopher K. R. T. Jones, Rafael J. de Moraes, Christian Sampson, Femke C. Vossepoel, M. Pulido

Publication date 26 January 2022

Published in Foundations of Data Science (Search for Journal in Brave)

Full work available at URL https://doi.org/10.3934/fods.2021001

zbMATH Keywords

ensemble data assimilationESMDAmodel calibrationparameter estimationSARS-CoV-2

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

PDEs in connection with biology, chemistry and other natural sciences (35Q92) Epidemiology (92D30)

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Cites work

• Accounting for model errors in iterative ensemble smoothers
• Analysis of iterative ensemble smoothers for solving inverse problems
• Data assimilation: methods, algorithms, and applications
• Ensemble Kalman methods for inverse problems
• Formulating the history matching problem with consistent error statistics
• Levenberg-Marquardt forms of the iterative ensemble smoother for efficient history matching and uncertainty quantification
• Parameterizations for ensemble Kalman inversion
• Sequential data assimilation of the stochastic SEIR epidemic model for regional COVID-19 dynamics
• The discrete age-structured SEIT model with application to tuberculosis transmission in China
• The ensemble Kalman filter for combined state and parameter estimation
• Variational data assimilation with epidemic models

Cited in

(7)

• A study of disproportionately affected populations by race/ethnicity during the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic using multi-population SEIR modeling and ensemble data assimilation
• Analysis of COVID-19 in Japan with extended SEIR model and ensemble Kalman filter
• Sequential data assimilation of the stochastic SEIR epidemic model for regional COVID-19 dynamics
• Disentangling the role of virus infectiousness and awareness-based human behavior during the early phase of the COVID-19 pandemic in the European Union
• Predicting the behavior of sparsely-sampled systems across neurobiology and epidemiology
• Data assimilation predictive GAN (DA-PredGAN) applied to a spatio-temporal compartmental model in epidemiology
• Discrete-time formulations as time discretization strategies in data assimilation

Describes a project that uses

Uses Software

• EnKF

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