COVID-19 epidemic under the K-quarantine model: network approach

DOI10.1016/J.CHAOS.2022.111904zbMATH Open1498.92203arXiv2010.07157OpenAlexW3093261790MaRDI QIDQ2098677FDOQ2098677

Yanyan Li

Publication date: 18 November 2022

Published in: Chaos, Solitons and Fractals (Search for Journal in Brave)

Abstract: The Covid-19 pandemic is ongoing worldwide, and the damage it has caused is unprecedented. For prevention, South Korea has adopted a local quarantine strategy rather than a global lockdown. This approach not only minimizes economic damage, but it also efficiently prevents the spread of the disease. In this work, the spread of COVID-19 under local quarantine measures is modeled using the Susceptible-Exposed-Infected-Recovered model on complex networks. In this network approach, the links connected to isolated people are disconnected and then reinstated when they are released. This link dynamics leads to time-dependent reproduction number. Numerical simulations are performed on networks with reaction rates estimated from empirical data. The temporal pattern of the cumulative number of confirmed cases is then reproduced. The results show that a large number of asymptomatic infected patients are detected as they are quarantined together with infected patients. Additionally, possible consequences of the breakdowns of local quarantine measures and social distancing are considered.

Full work available at URL: https://arxiv.org/abs/2010.07157

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zbMATH Keywords

COVID-19epidemicsnumerical simulationcomplex networksquarantine strategy

Mathematics Subject Classification ID

Epidemiology (92D30)

Cites Work

• Title not available (Why is that?)
• Influence of nonlinear incidence rates upon the behavior of SIRS epidemiological models
• Global dynamics of a SEIR model with varying total population size
• Connected components in random graphs with given expected degree sequences
• Dynamical Processes on Complex Networks
• Bifurcation analysis of periodic SEIR and SIR epidemic models

Cited In (1)

• Unequal effects of SARS-CoV-2 infections: model of SARS-CoV-2 dynamics in Cameroon (Sub-Saharan Africa) versus New York State (United States)

Uses Software

• EpiEstim

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