Analytic solution of the SEIR epidemic model via asymptotic approximant
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Publication:2127396
Epidemiology (92D30) Qualitative investigation and simulation of ordinary differential equation models (34C60) Asymptotic approximations, asymptotic expansions (steepest descent, etc.) (41A60) Explicit solutions, first integrals of ordinary differential equations (34A05) Asymptotic properties of solutions to ordinary differential equations (34D05) Analytical theory of ordinary differential equations: series, transformations, transforms, operational calculus, etc. (34A25)
Abstract: An analytic solution is obtained to the SEIR Epidemic Model. The solution is created by constructing a single second-order nonlinear differential equation in and analytically continuing its divergent power series solution such that it matches the correct long-time exponential damping of the epidemic model. This is achieved through an asymptotic approximant (Barlow et. al, 2017, Q. Jl Mech. Appl. Math, 70 (1), 21-48) in the form of a modified symmetric Pad'e approximant that incorporates this damping. The utility of the analytical form is demonstrated through its application to the COVID-19 pandemic.
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Cited in
(19)- Comparing the dynamics of COVID-19 infection and mortality in the United States, India, and Brazil
- Analytical solution of SEIR model describing the free spread of the COVID-19 pandemic
- Dynamics of SEIR epidemic model by optimal auxiliary functions method
- Analytical approximate solution of a SIR epidemic model with constant vaccination strategy by homotopy perturbation method
- The first integrals and closed‐form solutions of a Susceptible‐Exposed‐Infectious epidemic model
- An unconditionally convergent discretizaton of the SEIR model
- QUALITATIVE ANALYSIS OF SEIRS ENDEMIC MODEL BOTH FROM PDEs AND ODEs PERSPECTIVE
- Nonlinear dynamics of an epidemic compartment model with asymptomatic infections and mitigation
- Explicit formulae for the peak time of an epidemic from the SIR model
- Power-series solution of compartmental epidemiological models
- Trends in COVID-19 prevalence and mortality: a year in review
- Analytical solution and adaptation to the parameter estimation of the SIR model
- A highly accurate peak time formula of epidemic outbreak from the SIR model
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- Nonlinear control of infection spread based on a deterministic SEIR model
- Dynamical analysis and perturbation solution of an SEIR epidemic model
- Accurate closed-form solution of the SIR epidemic model
- Isolation in the control of epidemic
- Epidemiological models in semiclassical approximation: an analytically solvable model as a test case
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