Accurate closed-form solution of the SIR epidemic model
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Publication:2115550
DOI10.1016/J.PHYSD.2020.132540zbMATH Open1485.92112arXiv2004.07833OpenAlexW3022013395WikidataQ94501726 ScholiaQ94501726MaRDI QIDQ2115550FDOQ2115550
Authors: N. S. Barlow, S. J. Weinstein 
Publication date: 17 March 2022
Published in: Physica D (Search for Journal in Brave)
Abstract: An accurate closed-form solution is obtained to the SIR Epidemic Model through the use of Asymptotic Approximants (Barlow et. al, 2017, Q. Jl Mech. Appl. Math, 70 (1), 21-48). The solution is created by analytically continuing the divergent power series solution such that it matches the long-time asymptotic behavior of the epidemic model. The utility of the analytical form is demonstrated through its application to the COVID-19 pandemic.
Full work available at URL: https://arxiv.org/abs/2004.07833
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Epidemiology (92D30) Asymptotic approximations, asymptotic expansions (steepest descent, etc.) (41A60) Asymptotic properties of solutions to ordinary differential equations (34D05)
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Cited In (32)
- Comparing the dynamics of COVID-19 infection and mortality in the United States, India, and Brazil
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- A spatio-temporal Dirichlet process mixture model for coronavirus disease-19
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- Comments on some analytical and numerical aspects of the SIR model
- Exact solution of the Susceptible–Infectious–Recovered–Deceased (SIRD) epidemic model
- Social distancing versus early detection and contacts tracing in epidemic management
- Two critical times for the SIR model
- The first integrals and closed‐form solutions of a Susceptible‐Exposed‐Infectious epidemic model
- Mathematical modeling of the propagation of COVID-19 pandemic waves in the world
- Discrete SIR model on a homogeneous tree and its continuous limit
- Analytical solution and adaptation to the parameter estimation of the SIR model
- Phase portraits of an SIR epidemic model
- Endemic bubble and multiple cusps generated by saturated treatment of an SIR model through Hopf and Bogdanov-Takens bifurcations
- Network-based uncertainty quantification for mathematical models in epidemiology
- An accurate two-phase approximate solution to an acute viral infection model
- Logistic equation and COVID-19
- Computational aspects of the approximate analytic solutions of the SIR model: applications to modelling of COVID-19 outbreaks
- Analytical solution of the SIR-model for the temporal evolution of epidemics. Part A: time-independent reproduction factor
- Analytical solution of the SIR-model for the temporal evolution of epidemics: part B. Semi-time case
- Exploring the impact of social stress on the adaptive dynamics of COVID-19: typing the behavior of naïve populations faced with epidemics
- A closure approximation technique for epidemic models
- Analytical features of the SIR model and their applications to COVID-19
- An exact global solution for the classical SIRS epidemic model
- Explicit formulae for the peak time of an epidemic from the SIR model
- Explicit formulae for the peak time of an epidemic from the SIR model. Which approximant to use?
- Trends in COVID-19 prevalence and mortality: a year in review
- Limits of epidemic prediction using SIR models
- Analytic solution of the SEIR epidemic model via asymptotic approximant
- Size and timescale of epidemics in the SIR framework
- A highly accurate peak time formula of epidemic outbreak from the SIR model
- An estimative (warning) model for recognition of pandemic nature of virus infections
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