Accurate closed-form solution of the SIR epidemic model
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Publication:2115550
DOI10.1016/J.PHYSD.2020.132540zbMATH Open1485.92112arXiv2004.07833OpenAlexW3022013395WikidataQ94501726 ScholiaQ94501726MaRDI QIDQ2115550FDOQ2115550
Publication date: 17 March 2022
Published in: Physica D (Search for Journal in Brave)
Abstract: An accurate closed-form solution is obtained to the SIR Epidemic Model through the use of Asymptotic Approximants (Barlow et. al, 2017, Q. Jl Mech. Appl. Math, 70 (1), 21-48). The solution is created by analytically continuing the divergent power series solution such that it matches the long-time asymptotic behavior of the epidemic model. The utility of the analytical form is demonstrated through its application to the COVID-19 pandemic.
Full work available at URL: https://arxiv.org/abs/2004.07833
Epidemiology (92D30) Asymptotic approximations, asymptotic expansions (steepest descent, etc.) (41A60) Asymptotic properties of solutions to ordinary differential equations (34D05)
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Cited In (31)
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- An estimative (warning) model for recognition of pandemic nature of virus infections
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